Prediction: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovic
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Novak Djokovic; the market gives 84% to Novak Djokovic (odds 1.13).
Over their last 10 matches, Arthur Rinderknech sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Novak Djokovic arrives on a 8-2 run.
71%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Rinderknech 1512 · Novak Djokovic 1541
| Arthur Rinderknech | Novak Djokovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Novak Djokovic dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 44.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Arthur Rinderknech | Novak Djokovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.3 | 2.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.9-15.3 | 18.7-16.3 |
| Aces | 15.9 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 80.9% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 19.7% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
30.2 · Bet365 line 33.5 · -3.3
Over 33.5: 28% · 1.90
Under 33.5: 72% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Rinderknech
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Martin Damm Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-23 | W |
| 16/06 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Stan Wawrinka Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Corentin Moutet Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Jurij Rodionov French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Alexander Bublik ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Laslo Djere ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Novak Djokovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Yibing Wu Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 29/05 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 25-28 | L |
| 27/05 | Valentin Royer French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
| 24/05 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 24-17 | W |
| 08/05 | Dino Prizmic ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/03 | Jack Draper ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 09/03 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 07/03 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/02 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Australian Open · Hard |
1-3 | 16-21 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovic?
Our model gives 71% to Novak Djokovic, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.