Prediction: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Iva Jovic; the market gives 64% to Iva Jovic (odds 1.50).
On recent form, Ekaterina Alexandrova is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Iva Jovic 7-3 over theirs.
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Iva Jovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iva Jovic (rating 1512 vs 1566).
- Iva Jovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Alexandrova 1–0 Iva Jovic (1).
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Iva Jovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.5 | 12-8.7 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 50.5% |
H2H · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1 – 0 Iva Jovic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1–0 Iva Jovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/24 US Open Women | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Lanlana Tararudee Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Panna Udvardy Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Ann Li WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Panna Udvardy WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Maria Camila Osorio French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Ann Li WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/05 | Laura Siegemund WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Iva Jovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Tatjana Maria Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Naomi Osaka French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 28/05 | Emma Navarro French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/05 | Alexandra Eala French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Emma Navarro WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic?
Our model gives 61% to Iva Jovic, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.