Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 03/07, 12:00
Prediction: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Barbora Krejcikova; the market gives 66% to Barbora Krejcikova (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Nikola Bartunkova with 10 wins and 0 losses over 10 games; Barbora Krejcikova has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Bartunkova 1561 · Barbora Krejcikova 1572
| Nikola Bartunkova | Barbora Krejcikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nikola Bartunkova makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Bartunkova | Barbora Krejcikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.1-12.6 | 12.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 41% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.2
Over 22.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 35% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Bartunkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Peyton Stearns Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Diana Shnaider WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 06/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 04/06 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Barbora Krejcikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Mirra Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Hannah Klugman Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Magda Linette WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/05 | Hailey Baptiste French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 16/05 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova?
Our model gives 59% to Barbora Krejcikova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.