Prediction: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Anna Kalinskaya; the market gives 68% to Belinda Bencic (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Belinda Bencic sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Anna Kalinskaya arrives on a 7-3 run.
| Belinda Bencic | Anna Kalinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Belinda Bencic 3–1 Anna Kalinskaya (4).
- Note: Anna Kalinskaya makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Belinda Bencic | Anna Kalinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.2 | 11.2-11 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 47.3% |
H2H · Belinda Bencic 3 – 1 Anna Kalinskaya (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belinda Bencic 3–1 Anna Kalinskaya
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 WTA Rome | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/01/23 WTA Adelaide 2 | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06/22 WTA Berlin | 2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/06/22 WTA Hertogenbosch | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belinda Bencic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/05 | Peyton Stearns French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Caty McNally French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Sinja Kraus French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/05 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/04 | Hailey Baptiste WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 25/04 | Diana Shnaider WTA Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Anna Kalinskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Magdalena Frech Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Anastasia Potapova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 30/05 | Maria Camila Osorio French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 28/05 | Alina Korneeva French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Lois Boisson French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/05 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya?
Our model gives 60% to Belinda Bencic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.