Prediction: Jessica Pegula vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Jessica Pegula; the market gives 88% to Jessica Pegula (odds 1.08).
On recent form, Jessica Pegula is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 4-6 over theirs.
| Jessica Pegula | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jessica Pegula (rating 1572 vs 1521).
- Head-to-head: Jessica Pegula 1–0 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (1).
Statistics
| Jessica Pegula | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 83% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.3 | 9.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 43% |
H2H · Jessica Pegula 1 – 0 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jessica Pegula 1–0 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/24 US Open Women | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jessica Pegula
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Darja Vidmanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Madison Keys WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Kimberly Birrell French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Iga Swiatek WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/05 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Dayana Yastremska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Potapova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Petra Marcinko WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Fiona Ferro WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jessica Pegula vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro?
Our model gives 74% to Jessica Pegula, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.