Prediction: Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento; the market gives 79% to Oscar Jose Gutierrez (odds 1.17).
Over their last 10 matches, Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Oscar Jose Gutierrez arrives on a 4-6 run.
| Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.6 | 10.5-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 43% |
H2H · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 1 – 1 Oscar Jose Gutierrez (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 1–1 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/24 ITF M25 Santander | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/05/24 ITF M25 Valldoreix | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Pablo Aunion M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Darrshan Suresh M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/05 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Lucca Helguera Casado M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 01/04 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 31/03 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano M25 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/11 | George Lazarov M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Daniel Verbeek M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/06 | Yannik Kelm M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Patrik Meszaros M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Leyton Rivera M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Gabor Hornung M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Maximilian Figl M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Ivan Ivanov M15 Dubrovnik · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/03 | Carlos Sanchez Jover M25 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez?
Our model gives 66% to Oscar Jose Gutierrez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.