Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 03/07, 12:00
Prediction: Karolina Muchova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Karolina Muchova; the market gives 89% to Karolina Muchova (odds 1.07).
Recent form leaves Karolina Muchova with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Mananchaya Sawangkaew has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karolina Muchova 1587 · Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1586
| Karolina Muchova | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mananchaya Sawangkaew makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Karolina Muchova | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 86% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7.3 | 12.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 62.7% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +3.5
Over 18.5: 73% · 1.72
Under 18.5: 27% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karolina Muchova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Shuai Zhang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Zakharova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Madison Keys WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Jil Teichmann French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Kamilla Rakhimova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/05 | Anastasia Zakharova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Alycia Parks Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Maja Chwalinska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Oceane Dodin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Mary Stoiana Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Anouk Koevermans Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Akasha Urhobo WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Kayla Day WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Linda Klimovicova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/05 | Aoi Ito WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karolina Muchova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew?
Our model gives 72% to Karolina Muchova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.