Prediction: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Alex Molcan; the market gives 79% to Jiri Lehecka (odds 1.20).
Over their last 10 matches, Jiri Lehecka sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Alex Molcan arrives on a 8-2 run.
64%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiri Lehecka 1532 · Alex Molcan 1564
| Jiri Lehecka | Alex Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alex Molcan dominates on serve: 10.4 aces and 49.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jiri Lehecka 0–1 Alex Molcan (1).
Statistics
| Jiri Lehecka | Alex Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-13.8 | 14.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 8.7 | 10.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 25.4% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -13.4
Over 38.5: 1% · 1.83
Under 38.5: 99% · 1.83
H2H · Jiri Lehecka 0 – 1 Alex Molcan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiri Lehecka 0–1 Alex Molcan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/20 Exhibition | 1-2 | 14-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiri Lehecka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Alexei Popyrin Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Ben Shelton ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 12/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | James Duckworth ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 25/05 | Pablo Carreno Busta French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 10/05 | Casper Ruud ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/04 | Arthur Fils ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Alex Molcan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Daniel Altmaier Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Murphy Cassone ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Ziga Sesko ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Felix Gill French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan?
Our model gives 64% to Jiri Lehecka, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.