Tennis · M15 Wuning · 02/07, 05:00
Prediction: Tianhui Zhang vs Grigoriy Lomakin
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Tianhui Zhang; the market gives 65% to Tianhui Zhang (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Tianhui Zhang sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Grigoriy Lomakin arrives on a 5-5 run.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tianhui Zhang 1559 · Grigoriy Lomakin 1504
| Tianhui Zhang | Grigoriy Lomakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tianhui Zhang (rating 1559 vs 1504).
Statistics
| Tianhui Zhang | Grigoriy Lomakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.1 | 10.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 66% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tianhui Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Shintaro Imai M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Fanming Meng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 03/06 | Ilya Maltsev M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Shu Muto M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Weiyi Kong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 27/05 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Grigoriy Lomakin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Shixun Zhu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Alberto Lim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Hanyi Liu M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Zhao Zhao M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Jinpeng Tang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Hugh Winter M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 19/05 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tianhui Zhang vs Grigoriy Lomakin?
Our model gives 62% to Tianhui Zhang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.