Tennis · M15 Wuning · 08/07, 08:30
Prediction: Hiiro Sakamoto vs James Van Herzeele
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Hiiro Sakamoto; the market gives 44% to Hiiro Sakamoto (odds 2.10).
Recent form leaves Hiiro Sakamoto with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; James Van Herzeele has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiiro Sakamoto 1537 · James Van Herzeele 1449
| Hiiro Sakamoto | James Van Herzeele | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hiiro Sakamoto (rating 1537 vs 1449).
- Hiiro Sakamoto is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hiiro Sakamoto | James Van Herzeele | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-0.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.3 | 10-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 73% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiiro Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Wenze Li M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Kazuma Kawachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Asahi Harazaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Toa Maeda UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Hugo Hashimoto UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
James Van Herzeele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 7-10 | L |
| 10/06 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 09/06 | Ye Chen M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 03/06 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Arjun Mehrotra M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 06/05 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 27/04 | Makoto Ochi M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Tanakorn Srirat M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/04 | Eric Ahren Moonga M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiiro Sakamoto vs James Van Herzeele?
Our model gives 52% to Hiiro Sakamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.