Tennis · M15 Wuning · 09/07, 12:30
Prediction: Masaki Ishikawa vs James Van Herzeele
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Masaki Ishikawa; the market gives 75% to James Van Herzeele (odds 1.25).
Over their last 10 matches, Masaki Ishikawa sits at 4-6 (W-L), while James Van Herzeele arrives on a 6-4 run.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Masaki Ishikawa 1522 · James Van Herzeele 1479
| Masaki Ishikawa | James Van Herzeele | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Masaki Ishikawa (rating 1522 vs 1479).
Statistics
| Masaki Ishikawa | James Van Herzeele | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.5 | 10-10 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Masaki Ishikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Minghui Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 21/02 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Katsutoshi Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/02 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/02 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 06/02 | Gaku Nayuki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/02 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/02 | Yoshinori Kobayashi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
James Van Herzeele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Hiiro Sakamoto M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 7-10 | L |
| 10/06 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 09/06 | Ye Chen M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 03/06 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Arjun Mehrotra M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 06/05 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 27/04 | Makoto Ochi M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Tanakorn Srirat M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Masaki Ishikawa vs James Van Herzeele?
Our model gives 61% to James Van Herzeele, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.