Tennis · M15 Wuning · 10/07, 04:00
Prediction: Daniil Sarksian vs Martin Borisiouk
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Martin Borisiouk; the market gives 73% to Martin Borisiouk (odds 1.28).
Over their last 10 matches, Daniil Sarksian sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Martin Borisiouk arrives on a 6-4 run.
67%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniil Sarksian 1467 · Martin Borisiouk 1534
| Daniil Sarksian | Martin Borisiouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Borisiouk (rating 1467 vs 1534).
Statistics
| Daniil Sarksian | Martin Borisiouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11 | 11.6-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniil Sarksian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 7-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 10/06 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Nicholas David Ionel M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/05 | Daniil Ostapenkov M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Nicola Ion M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Martin Borisiouk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Amirkhamza Nasridinov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Yua Taka M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/11 | Gavin Young ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/10 | Alan Magadan ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Peter Bertran ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniil Sarksian vs Martin Borisiouk?
Our model gives 67% to Martin Borisiouk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.