Tennis · M15 Wuning · 08/07, 04:00
Prediction: Sheng Tang vs Xing Dao Chen
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Sheng Tang; the market gives 59% to Xing Dao Chen (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Sheng Tang is 2-8 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Xing Dao Chen 5-5 over theirs.
54%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sheng Tang 1461 · Xing Dao Chen 1446
| Sheng Tang | Xing Dao Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sheng Tang | Xing Dao Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-10 | 9.6-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 32.5% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sheng Tang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Azuma Visaya M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Siwanat Auytayakul M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Junze Wu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Hugh Winter M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Joshua Charlton M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Evgeny Philippov M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 29/10 | S D Prajwal Dev ITF M25 Qian Daohu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Mikalai Haliak ITF M25 Huzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Xing Dao Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Yuquan Jin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Diordan Macababbad M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Siwanat Auytayakul M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | James Van Herzeele M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ryusuke Horiuchi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Qian Sun M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sheng Tang vs Xing Dao Chen?
Our model gives 54% to Xing Dao Chen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.