Tennis · M15 Wuning · 08/07, 07:00
Prediction: Hanyi Liu vs Kosuke Shibano
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 69% to Hanyi Liu; the market gives 83% to Hanyi Liu (odds 1.13).
On recent form, Hanyi Liu is 9-1 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kosuke Shibano 4-6 over theirs.
77%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanyi Liu 1590 · Kosuke Shibano 1448
| Hanyi Liu | Kosuke Shibano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanyi Liu (rating 1590 vs 1448).
- Hanyi Liu is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hanyi Liu | Kosuke Shibano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-6.6 | 8.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanyi Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Kaigaoge Kang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kosuke Shibano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Jangjun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Alan Magadan UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 21/04 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Eric Ahren Moonga M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 01/04 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/03 | Yuta Tomida M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 11/03 | Emile Hudd M15 Hinode · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanyi Liu vs Kosuke Shibano?
Our model gives 77% to Hanyi Liu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.