Tennis · M15 Getxo · 02/07, 11:30

Prediction: Michiel de Krom vs Sergi Fita Juan

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Michiel de Krom; the market gives 73% to Michiel de Krom (odds 1.28).

Recent form leaves Michiel de Krom with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Sergi Fita Juan has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

63%1
63% 37%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Michiel de Krom 1502 · Sergi Fita Juan 1503
Michiel de KromSergi Fita Juan
Our model50%50%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Michiel de Krom 2–0 Sergi Fita Juan (2).

Statistics

Michiel de KromSergi Fita Juan
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.2-1.2
Games (G-P)10.4-9.411.7-11.8
Aces0.50.3
Double faults2.33.1
1st serve %60.6%59.4%
Break %57.4%50.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

H2H · Michiel de Krom 20 Sergi Fita Juan (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Michiel de Krom 20 Sergi Fita Juan

Swipe the table sideways →

DateSetsGamesRes.
17/06/26
M15 Mungia-Laukariz
2-013-5W
06/02/25
ITF M15 Valencia
2-012-2W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Michiel de Krom

WWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 14-11 W
19/06 Ryan Nijboer
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/06 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
17/06 Sergi Fita Juan
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
16/06 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
02/06 Taym Alazmeh
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
27/05 Matteo Martineau
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
17/05 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Challenger Istanbul · Clay
0-2 5-13 L
12/05 Radu David Turcanu
M25 Vic
1-2 14-15 L
22/04 Pierre Antoine Faut
M25 Angers · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Sergi Fita Juan

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Charles Chen
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
17/06 Michiel de Krom
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L
16/06 Iker Gaztambide Arrastia
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
05/06 Anton Arzhankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
04/06 Carles Cordoba
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
02/06 Vlado Jankanj
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
21/05 Johan Nikles
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
20/05 Carles Cordoba
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
2-1 15-14 W
11/05 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Challenger Valencia · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/05 Luis Garcia Paez
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
1-2 16-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Michiel de Krom vs Sergi Fita Juan?

Our model gives 63% to Michiel de Krom, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.