Prediction: Alexandra Eala vs Maya Joint
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 68% to Alexandra Eala; the market gives 68% to Alexandra Eala (odds 1.40).
On recent form, Alexandra Eala is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Maya Joint 5-5 over theirs.
| Alexandra Eala | Maya Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Eala (rating 1558 vs 1426).
- Alexandra Eala is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alexandra Eala 0–1 Maya Joint (1).
Statistics
| Alexandra Eala | Maya Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.5 | 10-13 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 53.1% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 45.2% |
H2H · Alexandra Eala 0 – 1 Maya Joint (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexandra Eala 0–1 Maya Joint
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/25 WTA Eastbourne | 1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Renata Zarazua Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Elina Svitolina WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Elena Rybakina WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Donna Vekic WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Iva Jovic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 06/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Maya Joint
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Serena Williams Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Anastasia Potapova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Ann Li WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Chloe Paquet WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/03 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Eala vs Maya Joint?
Our model gives 68% to Alexandra Eala, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

