Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 02/07, 14:00

Prediction: Alexandra Eala vs Maya Joint

Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 68% to Alexandra Eala; the market gives 68% to Alexandra Eala (odds 1.40).

On recent form, Alexandra Eala is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Maya Joint 5-5 over theirs.

68%1
68% 32%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexandra Eala 1558 · Maya Joint 1426
Alexandra EalaMaya Joint
Our model68%32%
Market68%32%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Eala (rating 1558 vs 1426).
  • Alexandra Eala is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Alexandra Eala 0–1 Maya Joint (1).

Statistics

Alexandra EalaMaya Joint
Win %70%20%
Win % · Grass 70% (10) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.80.7-1.7
Games (G-P)11.2-9.510-13
Aces2.52.6
Double faults2.33.2
1st serve %68.1%53.1%
Break %39.6%45.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2
Over 20.5: 64% · 1.83 Under 20.5: 36% · 1.83

H2H · Alexandra Eala 01 Maya Joint (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexandra Eala 01 Maya Joint

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DateSetsGamesRes.
28/06/25
WTA Eastbourne
1-216-14L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexandra Eala

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Renata Zarazua
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-3 W
22/06 Elise Mertens
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
20/06 Linda Noskova
WTA Berlin · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
19/06 Elina Svitolina
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
18/06 Elena Rybakina
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
17/06 Donna Vekic
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
10/06 Iva Jovic
WTA Queens · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
09/06 Shuai Zhang
WTA Queens · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
07/06 Nikola Bartunkova
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-1 18-15 W
06/06 Rebeka Masarova
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-1 16-11 W

Maya Joint

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Serena Williams
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 18-13 W
22/06 Emiliana Arango
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
15/06 Yulia Starodubtsewa
WTA Nottingham · Grass
1-2 16-19 L
04/06 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Makarska · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
04/06 Katarzyna Kawa
WTA Makarska · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
25/05 Anastasia Potapova
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/05 Ann Li
WTA Strasbourg · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
11/05 Chloe Paquet
WTA Paris · Clay
1-2 10-17 L
07/05 Viktorija Golubic
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
06/03 Jaqueline Adina Cristian
WTA Indian Wells · Hard
1-2 13-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexandra Eala vs Maya Joint?

Our model gives 68% to Alexandra Eala, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.