Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 02/07, 18:00

Prediction: Maria Camila Osorio vs Linda Noskova

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Linda Noskova; the market gives 78% to Linda Noskova (odds 1.22).

Recent form leaves Maria Camila Osorio with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Linda Noskova has piled up 7-3 in the same span.

66%2
34% 66%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Camila Osorio 1521 · Linda Noskova 1525
Maria Camila OsorioLinda Noskova
Our model49%51%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Maria Camila Osorio makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Maria Camila OsorioLinda Noskova
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.4-0.7
Games (G-P)12.3-1010.9-8.1
Aces1.75.9
Double faults5.43.9
1st serve %61.3%75.4%
Break %49.3%47.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9 · Bet365 line 20.5
Over 20.5: 53% · 1.83 Under 20.5: 47% · 1.83

H2H · Maria Camila Osorio 11 Linda Noskova (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Camila Osorio 11 Linda Noskova

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DateSetsGamesRes.
14/11/25
Billie Jean King Cup
0-24-12L
03/02/23
WTA Lyon
2-013-10W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Camila Osorio

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Simona Waltert
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-3 W
20/06 Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
30/05 Anna Kalinskaya
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 11-12 L
28/05 Yulia Putintseva
French Open Women · Clay
2-1 20-17 W
25/05 Ekaterina Alexandrova
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
21/05 Panna Udvardy
WTA Rabat · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
20/05 Janice Tjen
WTA Rabat · Clay
2-1 15-9 W
19/05 Tereza Martincova
WTA Rabat · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
15/05 Barbora Krejcikova
WTA Parma · Clay
1-2 13-14 L
14/05 Dominika Salkova
WTA Parma · Clay
2-1 14-10 W

Linda Noskova

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Ella Seidel
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
23/06 Elena-Gabriela Ruse
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
21/06 Jessica Pegula
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-1 16-13 W
20/06 Alexandra Eala
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
19/06 Paula Badosa
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
18/06 Diane Parry
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Renata Zarazua
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
26/05 Maria Sakkari
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
11/05 Sorana Cirstea
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
09/05 Oleksandra Oliynykova
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Camila Osorio vs Linda Noskova?

Our model gives 66% to Linda Noskova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.