Prediction: Sorana Cirstea vs Kimberly Birrell
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Sorana Cirstea; the market gives 68% to Sorana Cirstea (odds 1.40).
Recent form leaves Sorana Cirstea with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Kimberly Birrell has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
| Sorana Cirstea | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sorana Cirstea 1–0 Kimberly Birrell (1).
- Note: Kimberly Birrell makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Sorana Cirstea | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (3) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-7.9 | 12.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 47.6% |
H2H · Sorana Cirstea 1 – 0 Kimberly Birrell (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorana Cirstea 1–0 Kimberly Birrell
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/23 WTA Indian Wells | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorana Cirstea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Sara Bejlek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Solana Sierra French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/05 | Eva Lys French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/05 | Ksenia Efremova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Coco Gauff WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Kimberly Birrell
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Peyton Stearns WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Indianna Spink WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Ann Li WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Katie Volynets WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Mingge Xu WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Magda Linette WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Oleksandra Oliynykova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorana Cirstea vs Kimberly Birrell?
Our model gives 62% to Sorana Cirstea, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.