Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 02/07, 12:00

Prediction: Daria Snigur vs Leolia Jeanjean

Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Leolia Jeanjean; the market gives 72% to Daria Snigur (odds 1.33).

On recent form, Daria Snigur is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Leolia Jeanjean 6-4 over theirs.

61%1
61% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daria Snigur 1538 · Leolia Jeanjean 1552
Daria SnigurLeolia Jeanjean
Our model48%52%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Daria Snigur 0–1 Leolia Jeanjean (1).
  • Note: Leolia Jeanjean makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Daria SnigurLeolia Jeanjean
Win %60%60%
Win % · Grass 71% (7) 100% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.4-1.1
Games (G-P)11.8-10.712.9-12.6
Aces1.33.3
Double faults2.94.4
1st serve %65%67.9%
Break %48.6%45.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.9 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +4.4
Over 19.5: 78% · 1.83 Under 19.5: 22% · 1.83

H2H · Daria Snigur 01 Leolia Jeanjean (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Daria Snigur 01 Leolia Jeanjean

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DateSetsGamesRes.
31/03/22
ITF W60 Croissy-Beaubourg
0-26-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daria Snigur

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Elina Svitolina
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-7 W
22/06 Anhelina Kalinina
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 11-14 L
21/06 Petra Marcinko
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
20/06 Sofia Kenin
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
12/06 Robin Montgomery
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
11/06 Panna Udvardy
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-1 15-14 W
08/06 Paula Badosa
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 13-7 W
27/05 Peyton Stearns
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
24/05 Clara Tauson
French Open Women · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
05/05 Noemi Basiletti
WTA Rome · Clay
1-2 14-18 L

Leolia Jeanjean

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Veronika Erjavec
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-16 W
25/06 Katie Volynets
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Ekaterine Gorgodze
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Xiaodi You
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 16-11 W
02/06 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
WTA Makarska · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
25/05 Kaitlin Quevedo
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
17/05 Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Strasbourg · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
07/05 Jasmine Paolini
WTA Rome · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
06/05 Beatriz Haddad Maia
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
05/05 Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Rome · Clay
2-1 18-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daria Snigur vs Leolia Jeanjean?

Our model gives 61% to Daria Snigur, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.