Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 02/07, 12:00
Prediction: Emma Navarro vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Emma Navarro; the market gives 79% to Emma Navarro (odds 1.20).
On recent form, Emma Navarro is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Oksana Selekhmeteva 2-8 over theirs.
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emma Navarro 1562 · Oksana Selekhmeteva 1470
| Emma Navarro | Oksana Selekhmeteva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Navarro (rating 1562 vs 1470).
- Emma Navarro is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Oksana Selekhmeteva makes many double faults (9.3/match).
Statistics
| Emma Navarro | Oksana Selekhmeteva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12.5 | 10.3-12.4 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 9.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +3.6
Over 20.5: 74% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 26% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emma Navarro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Paula Badosa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Iga Swiatek WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Eva Lys WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Anna Bondar WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Caty McNally WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Sinja Kraus Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Marta Kostyuk French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/05 | McCartney Kessler WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Sofia Kenin WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 06/05 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/04 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emma Navarro vs Oksana Selekhmeteva?
Our model gives 72% to Emma Navarro, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.