Tennis · M25 Figueira da Foz · 02/07, 13:30
Prediction: Emile Hudd vs Goncalo Marques
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Emile Hudd; the market gives 77% to Emile Hudd (odds 1.22).
Recent form leaves Emile Hudd with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Goncalo Marques has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emile Hudd 1539 · Goncalo Marques 1500
| Emile Hudd | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Emile Hudd dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 42.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Emile Hudd | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.5 | 11.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emile Hudd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Pablo Roche Alcaya M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Xavi Palomar M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/05 | Miles Jones M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Alexis Canter M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/05 | Henry Searle M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Goncalo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Jeffrey Fradkin M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Kaipo Marshall M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Hugo Coquelin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-9 | L |
| 10/05 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 09/05 | Joao Domingues M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emile Hudd vs Goncalo Marques?
Our model gives 67% to Emile Hudd, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.