Prediction: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 70% to Alexander Zverev; the market gives 89% to Alexander Zverev (odds 1.07).
On recent form, Valentin Royer is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Alexander Zverev 10-0 over theirs.
| Valentin Royer | Alexander Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Zverev (rating 1478 vs 1626).
- Alexander Zverev dominates on serve: 10.2 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Alexander Zverev is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Valentin Royer 0–1 Alexander Zverev (1).
Statistics
| Valentin Royer | Alexander Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 2.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.2 | 19.6-14.6 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 10.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 79.6% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 40.4% |
H2H · Valentin Royer 0 – 1 Alexander Zverev (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentin Royer 0–1 Alexander Zverev
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 ATP Shanghai | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Royer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Harry Wendelken Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Novak Djokovic French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 24/05 | Hugo Dellien French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Francisco Comesana ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/05 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Alexander Zverev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Alexander Blockx Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-23 | W |
| 20/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 28-19 | W |
| 05/06 | Jakub Mensik French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 02/06 | Rafael Jodar French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 31/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 29/05 | Quentin Halys French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 23-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev?
Our model gives 81% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.