Prediction: Zizou Bergs vs Jaime Faria
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Jaime Faria; the market gives 68% to Zizou Bergs (odds 1.40).
On recent form, Zizou Bergs is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Jaime Faria 9-1 over theirs.
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zizou Bergs 1551 · Jaime Faria 1582
| Zizou Bergs | Jaime Faria | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Zizou Bergs dominates on serve: 8.6 aces and 43% break avg.
- Jaime Faria dominates on serve: 11.3 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Zizou Bergs | Jaime Faria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 71% (7) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.4 | 2.2-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 15-13.9 | 16.7-13.6 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 11.3 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 80.7% |
| Break % | 43% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.9 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -11.6
Over 39.5: 2% · 1.83
Under 39.5: 98% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zizou Bergs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ugo Humbert Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
| 28/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Jaume Munar ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 10/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 24/05 | Tomas Machac French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Roberto Bautista-Agut Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Jaime Faria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Sho Shimabukuro Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-19 | W |
| 25/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 24/06 | Luka Pavlovic Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Hugo Grenier Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Moez Echargui Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Frances Tiafoe French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 22-29 | L |
| 28/05 | Jan-Lennard Struff French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Denis Shapovalov French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 21/05 | Lukas Neumayer French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zizou Bergs vs Jaime Faria?
Our model gives 58% to Zizou Bergs, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.