Prediction: Jacob Fearnley vs Jaume Munar
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Jacob Fearnley; the market gives 66% to Jaume Munar (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Jacob Fearnley with 2 wins and 8 losses over 10 games; Jaume Munar has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jacob Fearnley 1532 · Jaume Munar 1476
| Jacob Fearnley | Jaume Munar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jacob Fearnley (rating 1532 vs 1476).
- Note: Jacob Fearnley makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Jacob Fearnley | Jaume Munar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-13.8 | 11.6-11.5 |
| Aces | 6 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 30.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.3 · Bet365 line 37.5 · -12.2
Over 37.5: 2% · 1.83
Under 37.5: 98% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jacob Fearnley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Alex Michelsen Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 25-19 | W |
| 17/06 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Luca Nardi Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Rinky Hijikata Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
Jaume Munar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Francisco Cerundolo Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Martin Damm ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Hubert Hurkacz French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 15-20 | L |
| 21/05 | Mariano Navone ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Francisco Comesana ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Nishesh Basavareddy ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/05 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jacob Fearnley vs Jaume Munar?
Our model gives 55% to Jaume Munar, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.