Prediction: Jasmine Paolini vs Viktorija Golubic
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Viktorija Golubic; the market gives 60% to Jasmine Paolini (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Jasmine Paolini is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Viktorija Golubic 6-4 over theirs.
| Jasmine Paolini | Viktorija Golubic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viktorija Golubic (rating 1499 vs 1568).
- Head-to-head: Jasmine Paolini 1–2 Viktorija Golubic (3).
Statistics
| Jasmine Paolini | Viktorija Golubic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (2) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.1 | 12.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 51.2% |
H2H · Jasmine Paolini 1 – 2 Viktorija Golubic (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jasmine Paolini 1–2 Viktorija Golubic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/22 WTA Warsaw | 2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/03/22 WTA Indian Wells | 1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 09/05/21 WTA Saint-Malo | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jasmine Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Robin Montgomery Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Solana Sierra French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Dayana Yastremska French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/05 | Elise Mertens WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/04 | Hailey Baptiste WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Laura Siegemund WTA Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/04 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Stuttgart · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Himeno Sakatsume Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Viktorija Golubic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Iryna Shymanovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Ann Li WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Sofia Kenin WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Sofia Kenin WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 12/06 | Katie Swan WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Daniella Britton WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/05 | Marta Kostyuk French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jasmine Paolini vs Viktorija Golubic?
Our model gives 51% to Jasmine Paolini, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.