Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 03/10, 20:30

Prediction: Bidasoa Irun vs Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

Team pages: Bidasoa Irun · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.7Total

Bidasoa Irun31.4

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil28.3

1X2

82% 18%

Bidasoa Irun Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

Recent form · 10 last

Bidasoa Irun 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWW

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Bidasoa Irun 4–2 Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil (6 last)

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil30-36Bidasoa Irun
Bidasoa Irun32-27Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil30-36Bidasoa Irun
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil33-25Bidasoa Irun
Bidasoa Irun31-25Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil28-27Bidasoa Irun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bidasoa Irun 1581 · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 1476

	Bidasoa Irun	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Our model	73%	27%
Market	82%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 59.7 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.7Bidasoa Irun 31.4 · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 28.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bidasoa Irun (rating 1581 vs 1476).
Bidasoa Irun is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours Bidasoa Irun: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Bidasoa Irun	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34 / 30.2	26.7 / 29.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.8 / 30.2	28.8 / 32.6
Est. result	31	28

Est. total59.7

Line O/U62.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

X14.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.88

2 (+5.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 2.35 · Est. total: 60.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15
X	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:00 +1’	1.15	14.00	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bidasoa Irun 4–0–2 Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Spain Copa del Rey	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	30-36	Bidasoa Irun
13/02/26 Spain Liga Asobal	Bidasoa Irun	32-27	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
20/09/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	30-36	Bidasoa Irun
01/06/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	33-25	Bidasoa Irun
21/12/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Bidasoa Irun	31-25	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
01/03/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	28-27	Bidasoa Irun

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bidasoa Irun	3	3	0	0	107	89	6
2	BM Granollers	3	3	0	0	106	89	6
3	Atletico Valladolid	3	3	0	0	99	82	6
4	FC Barcelona	2	2	0	0	87	59	4
5	BM Torrelavega	3	2	0	1	97	79	4
6	BM Logrono La Rioja	3	2	0	1	103	108	4
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	2	1	1	0	65	59	3
8	Ciudad Encantada	3	1	0	2	97	97	2
9	Ademar Leon	3	1	0	2	103	106	2
10	BM Triana	3	1	0	2	94	100	2
11	Puerto Sagunto	3	1	0	2	93	102	2
12	CMB Sporting Alicante	3	1	0	2	92	105	2
13	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	3	1	0	2	86	104	2
14	Villa De Aranda	3	0	1	2	88	103	1
15	BM Cangas	3	0	0	3	98	104	0
16	BM Nava	3	0	0	3	77	106	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bidasoa Irun	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Villa De Aranda	39-32 W	28-27 W
BM Cangas	33-32 W	30-32 L
Atletico Valladolid	36-33 W	23-25 L
CMB Sporting Alicante	38-35 W	25-25 D
BM Logrono La Rioja	34-32 W	24-31 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bidasoa Irun (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bidasoa Irun

WWWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	39-32	W
19/09	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	33-32	W
12/09	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	35-25	W
31/05	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	36-30	W
22/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-32	L
10/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	26-25	W
02/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	32-26	W
26/04	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	36-33	W
18/04	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	38-35	W
11/04	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	34-32	W

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

DWLDLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	28-35	L
20/09	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	27-39	L
12/09	BM Sevilla Spain Liga Asobal	31-30	W
31/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	30-32	L
22/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-27	W
10/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	23-25	L
02/05	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D
26/04	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	24-31	L
18/04	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	26-25	W
10/04	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bidasoa Irun vs Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil?

Our model gives 82% to Bidasoa Irun.

How many points are expected in Bidasoa Irun vs Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil?

The model estimates 59.7 total points (Bidasoa Irun 31.4 · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 28.3).