Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 11/10, 12:00

Prediction: Atletico Valladolid vs Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

Team pages: Atletico Valladolid · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.8Total

Atletico Valladolid30.2

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil27.6

1X2

76% 24%

Atletico Valladolid Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Valladolid 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWWW

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Atletico Valladolid 4–2 Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil (6 last)

Atletico Valladolid25-23Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil25-30Atletico Valladolid
Atletico Valladolid27-25Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil29-28Atletico Valladolid
Atletico Valladolid26-21Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil29-27Atletico Valladolid

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Valladolid 1549 · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 1477

	Atletico Valladolid	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Our model	69%	31%
Market	74%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 57.8 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.8Atletico Valladolid 30.2 · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 27.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Valladolid (rating 1549 vs 1477).
Atletico Valladolid is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours Atletico Valladolid: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Atletico Valladolid	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.4 / 29.9	26.7 / 30
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35 / 30.6	28.2 / 33.4
Est. result	30	28

Est. total57.8

Line O/U58.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.27

X10.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.80

2 (+3.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.88

Under 58.51.88

Diff.: 0.5 · Est. total: 59

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.27	Bet365 1.27
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:51 +3’	1.27	10.00	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Valladolid 4–0–2 Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Spain Liga Asobal	Atletico Valladolid	25-23	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
13/12/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	25-30	Atletico Valladolid
13/04/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Atletico Valladolid	27-25	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
17/11/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	29-28	Atletico Valladolid
30/03/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Atletico Valladolid	26-21	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
27/10/23 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	29-27	Atletico Valladolid

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bidasoa Irun	4	4	0	0	138	114	8
2	Atletico Valladolid	4	4	0	0	139	118	8
3	FC Barcelona	3	3	0	0	133	90	6
4	BM Torrelavega	4	3	0	1	125	100	6
5	BM Granollers	3	3	0	0	106	89	6
6	BM Logrono La Rioja	4	3	0	1	139	140	6
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	3	2	1	0	100	92	5
8	BM Triana	4	2	0	2	129	134	4
9	Ciudad Encantada	3	1	0	2	97	97	2
10	Ademar Leon	4	1	0	3	136	141	2
11	Puerto Sagunto	4	1	0	3	125	138	2
12	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	4	1	0	3	111	135	2
13	CMB Sporting Alicante	4	1	0	3	123	151	2
14	Villa De Aranda	4	0	1	3	109	131	1
15	BM Cangas	4	0	0	4	134	144	0
16	BM Nava	4	0	0	4	111	141	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Valladolid	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
BM Cangas	40-36 W	30-32 L
Villa De Aranda	34-26 W	28-27 W
Bidasoa Irun	33-36 L	25-31 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Valladolid (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Valladolid

LLLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	40-36	W
27/09	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	37-30	W
19/09	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	34-26	W
12/09	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	28-26	W
31/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	36-35	W
23/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	28-27	W
10/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	25-23	W
03/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	30-33	L
26/04	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	33-36	L
19/04	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	23-27	L

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

WLDLWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	25-31	L
26/09	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	28-35	L
20/09	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	27-39	L
12/09	BM Sevilla Spain Liga Asobal	31-30	W
31/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	30-32	L
22/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-27	W
10/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	23-25	L
02/05	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D
26/04	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	24-31	L
18/04	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	26-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Valladolid vs Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil?

Our model gives 76% to Atletico Valladolid.

How many points are expected in Atletico Valladolid vs Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil?

The model estimates 57.8 total points (Atletico Valladolid 30.2 · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 27.6).