Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 09/10, 20:15

Prediction: Caserio Ciudad Real vs BM Granollers

Team pages: Caserio Ciudad Real · BM Granollers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.7Total

Caserio Ciudad Real30.2

BM Granollers31.5

1X2

42% 58%

Caserio Ciudad Real BM Granollers

Recent form · 10 last

Caserio Ciudad Real 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDLDWW

BM Granollers 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Caserio Ciudad Real 1–1 BM Granollers (2 last)

BM Granollers38-29Caserio Ciudad Real
Caserio Ciudad Real26-24BM Granollers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caserio Ciudad Real 1515 · BM Granollers 1544

	Caserio Ciudad Real	BM Granollers
Our model	56%	44%
Market	29%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 61.7 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.7Caserio Ciudad Real 30.2 · BM Granollers 31.5

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Caserio Ciudad Real	BM Granollers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.3 / 31.4	32.3 / 29.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.4 / 31.6	34 / 29.6
Est. result	30	32

Est. total61.7

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.20

X9.00

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.75

2 (-2.5)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.88

Under 63.51.88

Diff.: 1.7 · Est. total: 61.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.47 → 1.57▲	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:36 +19’	3.60	9.00	1.47
17:11 +8’	3.20▼	9.00	1.57▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Caserio Ciudad Real 1–0–1 BM Granollers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Granollers	38-29	Caserio Ciudad Real
21/12/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Caserio Ciudad Real	26-24	BM Granollers

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bidasoa Irun	4	4	0	0	138	114	8
2	Atletico Valladolid	4	4	0	0	139	118	8
3	FC Barcelona	3	3	0	0	133	90	6
4	BM Torrelavega	4	3	0	1	125	100	6
5	BM Granollers	3	3	0	0	106	89	6
6	BM Logrono La Rioja	4	3	0	1	139	140	6
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	3	2	1	0	100	92	5
8	BM Triana	4	2	0	2	129	134	4
9	Ciudad Encantada	3	1	0	2	97	97	2
10	Ademar Leon	4	1	0	3	136	141	2
11	Puerto Sagunto	4	1	0	3	125	138	2
12	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	4	1	0	3	111	135	2
13	CMB Sporting Alicante	4	1	0	3	123	151	2
14	Villa De Aranda	4	0	1	3	109	131	1
15	BM Cangas	4	0	0	4	134	144	0
16	BM Nava	4	0	0	4	111	141	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Caserio Ciudad Real	BM Granollers
CMB Sporting Alicante	35-29 W	41-31 W
Villa De Aranda	30-30 D	27-33 L
BM Cangas	28-28 D	38-34 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BM Granollers (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caserio Ciudad Real

LLWWLDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-33	W
20/09	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	35-29	W
13/09	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	30-30	D
31/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	29-38	L
22/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	28-28	D
09/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	26-32	L
03/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	33-30	W
24/04	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	31-26	W
18/04	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	28-33	L
11/04	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	28-35	L

BM Granollers

LWWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	41-31	W
19/09	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	27-24	W
11/09	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	38-34	W
31/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	38-29	W
23/05	BM Base Oviedo Spain Liga Asobal	26-30	L
22/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	32-31	W
20/05	BM Base Oviedo Spain Liga Asobal	30-29	W
08/05	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	31-30	W
01/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	33-25	W
25/04	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	27-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caserio Ciudad Real vs BM Granollers?

Our model gives 58% to BM Granollers.

How many points are expected in Caserio Ciudad Real vs BM Granollers?

The model estimates 61.7 total points (Caserio Ciudad Real 30.2 · BM Granollers 31.5).