Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 09/10, 20:00

Prediction: Ciudad Encantada vs BM Logrono La Rioja

Team pages: Ciudad Encantada · BM Logrono La Rioja

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.6Total

Ciudad Encantada30.3

BM Logrono La Rioja32.3

1X2

39% 61%

Ciudad Encantada BM Logrono La Rioja

Recent form · 10 last

Ciudad Encantada 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLLWL

BM Logrono La Rioja 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLLWWW

Head-to-head

Ciudad Encantada 3–3 BM Logrono La Rioja (6 last)

Ciudad Encantada31-30BM Logrono La Rioja
BM Logrono La Rioja32-31Ciudad Encantada
Ciudad Encantada29-28BM Logrono La Rioja
BM Logrono La Rioja38-26Ciudad Encantada
Ciudad Encantada33-36BM Logrono La Rioja
Ciudad Encantada35-31BM Logrono La Rioja

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ciudad Encantada 1459 · BM Logrono La Rioja 1529

	Ciudad Encantada	BM Logrono La Rioja
Our model	50%	50%
Market	28%	61%

Estimated total (ours) 62.6 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.6Ciudad Encantada 30.3 · BM Logrono La Rioja 32.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BM Logrono La Rioja (rating 1459 vs 1529).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ciudad Encantada	BM Logrono La Rioja
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.6 / 34.3	32.2 / 31.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 33.2	33.4 / 36.2
Est. result	30	32

Est. total62.6

Line O/U60.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.30

X8.50

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)2.00

2 (-1.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.78

Under 60.52.00

Diff.: 3.3 · Est. total: 63.8

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 16:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.65 → 1.55▼	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:45 +9’	2.90	8.50	1.65
08:39 +35’	4.75▲	10.00▲	1.32▼
09:55 +24’	2.90▼	8.50▼	1.65▲
10:59 +24’	4.75▲	10.00▲	1.32▼
13:01 +13’	3.40▼	9.00▼	1.52▲
15:34 +45’	3.30▼	8.50▼	1.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ciudad Encantada 3–0–3 BM Logrono La Rioja

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Spain Copa del Rey	Ciudad Encantada	31-30	BM Logrono La Rioja
20/02/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Logrono La Rioja	32-31	Ciudad Encantada
26/09/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Ciudad Encantada	29-28	BM Logrono La Rioja
11/04/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Logrono La Rioja	38-26	Ciudad Encantada
08/04/25 Spain Copa del Rey	Ciudad Encantada	33-36	BM Logrono La Rioja
16/11/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Ciudad Encantada	35-31	BM Logrono La Rioja

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bidasoa Irun	4	4	0	0	138	114	8
2	Atletico Valladolid	4	4	0	0	139	118	8
3	FC Barcelona	3	3	0	0	133	90	6
4	BM Torrelavega	4	3	0	1	125	100	6
5	BM Granollers	3	3	0	0	106	89	6
6	BM Logrono La Rioja	4	3	0	1	139	140	6
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	3	2	1	0	100	92	5
8	BM Triana	4	2	0	2	129	134	4
9	Ciudad Encantada	3	1	0	2	97	97	2
10	Ademar Leon	4	1	0	3	136	141	2
11	Puerto Sagunto	4	1	0	3	125	138	2
12	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	4	1	0	3	111	135	2
13	CMB Sporting Alicante	4	1	0	3	123	151	2
14	Villa De Aranda	4	0	1	3	109	131	1
15	BM Cangas	4	0	0	4	134	144	0
16	BM Nava	4	0	0	4	111	141	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ciudad Encantada	BM Logrono La Rioja
BM Triana	36-37 L	33-27 W
Ademar Leon	35-32 W	32-32 D
BM Huesca	35-33 W	31-25 W
FC Barcelona	23-52 L	32-48 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BM Logrono La Rioja (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ciudad Encantada

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	36-37	L
20/09	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-32	W
12/09	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	26-28	L
31/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	30-36	L
22/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	34-33	W
08/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	30-31	L
25/04	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	24-28	L
19/04	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	35-33	W
15/04	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	23-52	L
12/04	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	23-33	L

BM Logrono La Rioja

WWDWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	36-32	W
26/09	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	38-33	W
18/09	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	33-27	W
11/09	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	32-48	L
31/05	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	28-41	L
22/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	31-25	W
09/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	28-25	W
02/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	32-32	D
26/04	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	31-24	W
18/04	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	33-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ciudad Encantada vs BM Logrono La Rioja?

Our model gives 61% to BM Logrono La Rioja.

How many points are expected in Ciudad Encantada vs BM Logrono La Rioja?

The model estimates 62.6 total points (Ciudad Encantada 30.3 · BM Logrono La Rioja 32.3).