Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 11/10, 12:30

Prediction: Villa De Aranda vs FC Barcelona

Team pages: Villa De Aranda · FC Barcelona

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.9Total

Villa De Aranda27.9

FC Barcelona37

1X2

13% 87%

Villa De Aranda FC Barcelona

Recent form · 10 last

Villa De Aranda 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWDLLL

FC Barcelona 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Villa De Aranda 0–6 FC Barcelona (6 last)

FC Barcelona41-27Villa De Aranda
Villa De Aranda28-34FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona45-27Villa De Aranda
Villa De Aranda27-42FC Barcelona
Villa De Aranda22-39FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona39-22Villa De Aranda

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villa De Aranda 1469 · FC Barcelona 1688

	Villa De Aranda	FC Barcelona
Our model	30%	70%
Market	1%	97%

Estimated total (ours) 64.9 points · Bet365 line 67.5 · -2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.9Villa De Aranda 27.9 · FC Barcelona 37

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Barcelona (rating 1469 vs 1688).
FC Barcelona is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours FC Barcelona: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Villa De Aranda	FC Barcelona
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.8 / 30.5	43.2 / 26.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 32.8	42 / 28.4
Est. result	28	37

Est. total64.9

Line O/U67.5

Diff.2.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

167.00

X67.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+15.5)1.88

2 (-15.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 67.51.88

Under 67.51.88

Diff.: 2.8 · Est. total: 64.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	67.00 → 67.00	Bet365 67.00
X	67.00 → 67.00	Bet365 67.00
2	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 2.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:09 +29’	67.00	67.00	1.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Villa De Aranda 0–0–6 FC Barcelona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/02/26 Spain Liga Asobal	FC Barcelona	41-27	Villa De Aranda
10/12/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Villa De Aranda	28-34	FC Barcelona
23/05/25 Spain Liga Asobal	FC Barcelona	45-27	Villa De Aranda
17/12/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Villa De Aranda	27-42	FC Barcelona
24/04/21 Spain Liga Asobal	Villa De Aranda	22-39	FC Barcelona
10/11/20 Spain Liga Asobal	FC Barcelona	39-22	Villa De Aranda

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bidasoa Irun	4	4	0	0	138	114	8
2	Atletico Valladolid	4	4	0	0	139	118	8
3	FC Barcelona	3	3	0	0	133	90	6
4	BM Torrelavega	4	3	0	1	125	100	6
5	BM Granollers	3	3	0	0	106	89	6
6	BM Logrono La Rioja	4	3	0	1	139	140	6
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	3	2	1	0	100	92	5
8	BM Triana	4	2	0	2	129	134	4
9	Ciudad Encantada	3	1	0	2	97	97	2
10	Ademar Leon	4	1	0	3	136	141	2
11	Puerto Sagunto	4	1	0	3	125	138	2
12	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	4	1	0	3	111	135	2
13	CMB Sporting Alicante	4	1	0	3	123	151	2
14	Villa De Aranda	4	0	1	3	109	131	1
15	BM Cangas	4	0	0	4	134	144	0
16	BM Nava	4	0	0	4	111	141	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Villa De Aranda	FC Barcelona
BM Torrelavega	21-28 L	36-24 W
Ademar Leon	35-33 W	48-31 W
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	27-28 L	39-27 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Barcelona (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villa De Aranda

LWLWLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	21-28	L
26/09	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	32-39	L
19/09	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	26-34	L
13/09	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	30-30	D
30/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-33	W
22/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	27-28	L
09/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	32-26	W
02/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	26-32	L
25/04	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	33-27	W
19/04	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	26-28	L

FC Barcelona

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	46-31	W
20/09	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	39-27	W
11/09	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	48-32	W
31/05	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	41-28	W
22/05	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	36-24	W
09/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	38-24	W
25/04	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	42-25	W
17/04	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	42-24	W
15/04	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	52-23	W
10/04	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	48-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villa De Aranda vs FC Barcelona?

Our model gives 87% to FC Barcelona.

How many points are expected in Villa De Aranda vs FC Barcelona?

The model estimates 64.9 total points (Villa De Aranda 27.9 · FC Barcelona 37).