Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 10/10, 19:00

Prediction: BM Torrelavega vs BM Cangas

Team pages: BM Torrelavega · BM Cangas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.2Total

BM Torrelavega31.5

BM Cangas28.7

1X2

82% 18%

BM Torrelavega BM Cangas

Recent form · 10 last

BM Torrelavega 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLWWW

BM Cangas 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLDWLLLL

Head-to-head

BM Torrelavega 2–1–3 BM Cangas (6 last)

BM Cangas28-30BM Torrelavega
BM Torrelavega28-30BM Cangas
BM Cangas29-25BM Torrelavega
BM Torrelavega31-29BM Cangas
BM Torrelavega32-33BM Cangas
BM Cangas27-27BM Torrelavega

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Torrelavega 1541 · BM Cangas 1450

	BM Torrelavega	BM Cangas
Our model	72%	28%
Market	82%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 60.2 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.2BM Torrelavega 31.5 · BM Cangas 28.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BM Torrelavega (rating 1541 vs 1450).
BM Torrelavega is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours BM Cangas: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Torrelavega	BM Cangas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.4 / 28.7	30 / 31.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.8 / 26.2	33.2 / 34.8
Est. result	32	29

Est. total60.2

Line O/U60.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

X14.00

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.88

2 (+5.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.88

Under 60.51.88

Diff.: 0.6 · Est. total: 61.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.15▼	Bet365 1.15
X	12.00 → 14.00▲	Bet365 14.00
2	6.50 → 8.50▲	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:30 +27’	1.22	12.00	6.50
11:24 +2’	1.15▼	14.00▲	8.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Torrelavega 2–1–3 BM Cangas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	28-30	BM Torrelavega
18/10/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	28-30	BM Cangas
12/04/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	29-25	BM Torrelavega
17/11/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	31-29	BM Cangas
18/05/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	32-33	BM Cangas
09/12/23 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	27-27	BM Torrelavega

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bidasoa Irun	4	4	0	0	138	114	8
2	Atletico Valladolid	4	4	0	0	139	118	8
3	FC Barcelona	3	3	0	0	133	90	6
4	BM Torrelavega	4	3	0	1	125	100	6
5	BM Granollers	3	3	0	0	106	89	6
6	BM Logrono La Rioja	4	3	0	1	139	140	6
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	3	2	1	0	100	92	5
8	BM Triana	4	2	0	2	129	134	4
9	Ciudad Encantada	3	1	0	2	97	97	2
10	Ademar Leon	4	1	0	3	136	141	2
11	Puerto Sagunto	4	1	0	3	125	138	2
12	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	4	1	0	3	111	135	2
13	CMB Sporting Alicante	4	1	0	3	123	151	2
14	Villa De Aranda	4	0	1	3	109	131	1
15	BM Cangas	4	0	0	4	134	144	0
16	BM Nava	4	0	0	4	111	141	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Torrelavega	BM Cangas
Villa De Aranda	28-21 W	28-26 W
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	35-28 W	32-30 W
Ademar Leon	40-33 W	32-33 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BM Torrelavega (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Torrelavega

LWWWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-21	W
26/09	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	35-28	W
19/09	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	33-19	W
12/09	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	29-32	L
31/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	39-31	W
22/05	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	24-36	L
09/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	33-28	W
02/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	38-33	W
26/04	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	40-33	W
18/04	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	25-26	L

BM Cangas

WWLLDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	36-40	L
25/09	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	32-33	L
19/09	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	32-33	L
11/09	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	34-38	L
31/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	32-30	W
22/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	28-28	D
10/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	25-26	L
01/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	25-33	L
25/04	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	28-24	W
19/04	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Torrelavega vs BM Cangas?

Our model gives 82% to BM Torrelavega.

How many points are expected in BM Torrelavega vs BM Cangas?

The model estimates 60.2 total points (BM Torrelavega 31.5 · BM Cangas 28.7).