Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 26/09, 21:00
Prediction: Aguas Santas B vs Academico FC
Prediction summary
Estimated points
60.1Total
Aguas Santas B31.3
Academico FC28.8
1X2
Aguas Santas B
Academico FC
Markets
Over 54.5 points 95%
Recent form · 10 last
Aguas Santas B
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Academico FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aguas Santas B
3–1–0
Academico FC
(4 last)
- Academico FC34-34Aguas Santas B
- Aguas Santas B34-22Academico FC
- Aguas Santas B26-25Academico FC
- Academico FC25-28Aguas Santas B
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aguas Santas B 1566 · Academico FC 1484
| Aguas Santas B | Academico FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 49% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
60.1 points · Bet365 line 54.5 · +5.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points60.1Aguas Santas B 31.3 · Academico FC 28.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguas Santas B (rating 1566 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Aguas Santas B: 3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Aguas Santas B | Academico FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 33.2 / 29.8 | 30.4 / 30.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 33.2 / 32.2 | 32 / 31.4 |
| Est. result | 31 | 29 |
Est. total60.1
Line O/U54.5
Diff.5.6
Over / Under95% / 5%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguas Santas B 3–1–0 Academico FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 Portugal 2a Divisao | Academico FC | 34-34 | Aguas Santas B |
| 17/04/26 Portugal 2a Divisao | Aguas Santas B | 34-22 | Academico FC |
| 21/02/26 Portugal 2a Divisao | Aguas Santas B | 26-25 | Academico FC |
| 22/11/25 Portugal 2a Divisao | Academico FC | 25-28 | Aguas Santas B |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aguas Santas B | Academico FC |
|---|---|---|
| CDC Santana | 30-29 W | 33-31 W |
| AD Afifense | 39-36 W | 44-26 W |
| Gondomar Cultural | 34-33 W | 24-33 L |
| Padroense | 37-29 W | 25-33 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aguas Santas B
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao |
30-29 | W |
| 10/06 | AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao |
26-35 | L |
| 06/06 | CD Marienses Portugal 2a Divisao |
37-27 | W |
| 04/06 | Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao |
34-34 | D |
| 30/05 | AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao |
39-36 | W |
| 23/05 | Gondomar Cultural Portugal 2a Divisao |
34-33 | W |
| 09/05 | Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao |
37-29 | W |
| 01/05 | AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao |
32-28 | W |
| 17/04 | Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao |
34-22 | W |
| 03/04 | Gondomar Cultural Portugal 2a Divisao |
29-25 | W |
Academico FC
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao |
25-33 | L |
| 10/06 | AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao |
44-26 | W |
| 06/06 | Gondomar Cultural Portugal 2a Divisao |
24-33 | L |
| 04/06 | Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao |
34-34 | D |
| 30/05 | CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao |
33-31 | W |
| 03/05 | Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao |
30-30 | D |
| 01/05 | AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao |
36-21 | W |
| 25/04 | Gondomar Cultural Portugal 2a Divisao |
28-28 | D |
| 17/04 | Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao |
22-34 | L |
| 11/04 | CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao |
28-31 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aguas Santas B vs Academico FC?
Our model gives 61% to Aguas Santas B.
How many points are expected in Aguas Santas B vs Academico FC?
The model estimates 60.1 total points (Aguas Santas B 31.3 · Academico FC 28.8).