Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 05/10, 19:30

Prediction: Alto Moinho vs CA Rangers Telheiras

Team pages: Alto Moinho

Prediction summary

Estimated points

55.5Total

Alto Moinho27.1

CA Rangers Telheiras28.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Alto Moinho CA Rangers Telheiras

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 53.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Alto Moinho 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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CA Rangers Telheiras 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Alto Moinho 4–1–1 CA Rangers Telheiras (6 last)

Alto Moinho32-32CA Rangers Telheiras
CA Rangers Telheiras27-34Alto Moinho
Alto Moinho35-34CA Rangers Telheiras
CA Rangers Telheiras36-28Alto Moinho
Alto Moinho31-30CA Rangers Telheiras
CA Rangers Telheiras25-27Alto Moinho

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alto Moinho 1507 · CA Rangers Telheiras 1550

	Alto Moinho	CA Rangers Telheiras
Our model	54%	46%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 55.5 points · Bet365 line 53.5 · +2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points55.5Alto Moinho 27.1 · CA Rangers Telheiras 28.4

Over / Under 53.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~55.3 pts · strength 2

Match keys

H2H favours Alto Moinho: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Alto Moinho	CA Rangers Telheiras
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.3 / 28.8	28.5 / 25.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.8 / 28.6	27.4 / 26
Est. result	27	28

Est. total55.5

Line O/U53.5

Diff.2

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 53.51.85

Under 53.51.85

Diff.: 2.15 · Est. total: 55.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
10:46 +8’	1.85	8.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alto Moinho 4–1–1 CA Rangers Telheiras

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Portugal 2a Divisao	Alto Moinho	32-32	CA Rangers Telheiras
03/05/26 Portugal 2a Divisao	CA Rangers Telheiras	27-34	Alto Moinho
20/09/25 Portugal 2a Divisao	Alto Moinho	35-34	CA Rangers Telheiras
10/06/25 Portugal 2a Divisao	CA Rangers Telheiras	36-28	Alto Moinho
24/04/25 Portugal 2a Divisao	Alto Moinho	31-30	CA Rangers Telheiras
15/01/25 Portugal 2a Divisao	CA Rangers Telheiras	25-27	Alto Moinho

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alto Moinho	CA Rangers Telheiras
Samora Correia	26-32 L	28-27 W
GM 1 Dezembro	27-30 L	31-24 W
CSS Pinhal Frades	28-28 D	25-24 W
Club Naval Setubalense	28-28 D	32-24 W
C. Oriental Lisboa	28-27 W	24-26 L
UJ Alverca	26-23 W	28-24 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CA Rangers Telheiras (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alto Moinho

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	CD Marienses Portugal 2a Divisao	26-21	W
13/06	CA Rangers Telheiras Portugal 2a Divisao	32-32	D
10/06	Samora Correia Portugal 2a Divisao	26-32	L
06/06	GM 1 Dezembro Portugal 2a Divisao	27-30	L
03/06	CSS Pinhal Frades Portugal 2a Divisao	28-28	D
30/05	Club Naval Setubalense Portugal 2a Divisao	28-28	D
22/05	C. Oriental Lisboa Portugal 2a Divisao	28-27	W
09/05	UJ Alverca Portugal 2a Divisao	26-23	W
06/05	Samora Correia Portugal 2a Divisao	28-40	L
03/05	CA Rangers Telheiras Portugal 2a Divisao	34-27	W

CA Rangers Telheiras

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	CDE Camoes Portugal 2a Divisao	24-23	W
13/06	Alto Moinho Portugal 2a Divisao	32-32	D
10/06	UJ Alverca Portugal 2a Divisao	28-24	W
06/06	Samora Correia Portugal 2a Divisao	28-27	W
30/05	CSS Pinhal Frades Portugal 2a Divisao	25-24	W
27/05	GM 1 Dezembro Portugal 2a Divisao	31-24	W
23/05	Club Naval Setubalense Portugal 2a Divisao	32-24	W
09/05	C. Oriental Lisboa Portugal 2a Divisao	24-26	L
03/05	Alto Moinho Portugal 2a Divisao	27-34	L
28/04	UJ Alverca Portugal 2a Divisao	34-19	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alto Moinho vs CA Rangers Telheiras?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Alto Moinho 55% · CA Rangers Telheiras 45%).

How many points are expected in Alto Moinho vs CA Rangers Telheiras?

The model estimates 55.5 total points (Alto Moinho 27.1 · CA Rangers Telheiras 28.4).

Over or under 53.5 points?

Recent history points to over 53.5 points (65%).