Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 05/10, 21:00

Prediction: CDC Santana vs CDC Sao Paio Oleiros

Team pages: CDC Santana · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros

Prediction summary

Estimated points

54Total

CDC Santana26.1

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros27.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

44% 56%

CDC Santana CDC Sao Paio Oleiros

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 51.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

CDC Santana 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLDWLW

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

CDC Santana 3–2–1 CDC Sao Paio Oleiros (6 last)

CDC Santana28-20CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
CDC Santana24-16CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
CDC Santana25-25CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
CDC Sao Paio Oleiros25-28CDC Santana
CDC Santana31-31CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
CDC Sao Paio Oleiros32-22CDC Santana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CDC Santana 1484 · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 1558

	CDC Santana	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
Our model	49%	51%
Market	36%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 54 points · Bet365 line 51.5 · +2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points54CDC Santana 26.1 · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 27.9

Over / Under 51.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~54.5 pts · strength 3

Match keys

H2H favours CDC Santana: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CDC Santana	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.6 / 27.8	28.4 / 24.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.4 / 28.2	27.6 / 25.2
Est. result	26	28

Est. total54

Line O/U51.5

Diff.2.5

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

X8.00

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 51.51.85

Under 51.51.85

Diff.: 2.8 · Est. total: 54.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
10:52 +3’	2.55	8.00	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CDC Santana 3–2–1 CDC Sao Paio Oleiros

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/06/22 Portugal 2a Divisao	CDC Santana	28-20	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
26/02/22 Portugal 2a Divisao	CDC Santana	24-16	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
30/11/21 Portugal Cup	CDC Santana	25-25	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
06/11/21 Portugal 2a Divisao	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros	25-28	CDC Santana
26/06/21 Portugal 2a Divisao	CDC Santana	31-31	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
19/05/21 Portugal 2a Divisao	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros	32-22	CDC Santana

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CDC Santana

WLDLLLDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	24-23	W
13/06	Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao	29-30	L
10/06	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	33-30	W
06/06	AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao	25-25	D
30/05	Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao	31-33	L
09/05	Gondomar Cultural Portugal 2a Divisao	27-28	L
01/05	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	26-29	L
25/04	AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao	23-23	D
18/04	CD Marienses Portugal 2a Divisao	27-29	L
11/04	Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao	31-28	W

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros

LWWWWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	AC Lamego Portugal 2a Divisao	29-27	W
26/09	AC Lusitanos Portugal 2a Divisao	23-20	W
13/06	AC Lamego Portugal 2a Divisao	29-28	W
06/06	AC Coimbra Portugal 2a Divisao	28-32	L
04/06	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	29-19	W
30/05	AC Sismaria Portugal 2a Divisao	33-19	W
01/05	AD Albicastrense Portugal 2a Divisao	26-25	W
18/04	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	34-28	W
28/02	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	28-24	W
21/02	AC Coimbra Portugal 2a Divisao	25-26	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CDC Santana vs CDC Sao Paio Oleiros?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (CDC Santana 44% · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 56%).

How many points are expected in CDC Santana vs CDC Sao Paio Oleiros?

The model estimates 54 total points (CDC Santana 26.1 · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 27.9).

Over or under 51.5 points?

Recent history points to over 51.5 points (65%).