Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 03/10, 20:00
Prediction: Padroense vs CDC Santana
Team pages: Padroense · CDC Santana
Prediction summary
Estimated points
57.9Total
Padroense29.7
CDC Santana28.2
1X2
Padroense
CDC Santana
Markets
Over 52.5 points 85%
Recent form · 10 last
Padroense
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
CDC Santana
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Padroense
1–2
CDC Santana
(3 last)
- CDC Santana33-30Padroense
- Padroense29-26CDC Santana
- Padroense22-24CDC Santana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Padroense 1505 · CDC Santana 1488
| Padroense | CDC Santana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 56% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
57.9 points · Bet365 line 52.5 · +5.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points57.9Padroense 29.7 · CDC Santana 28.2
Match keys
- H2H favours CDC Santana: 2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Padroense | CDC Santana | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 31.4 / 29.2 | 28.3 / 28.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 32.6 / 27.4 | 29 / 29.2 |
| Est. result | 30 | 28 |
Est. total57.9
Line O/U52.5
Diff.5.4
Over / Under85% / 15%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Padroense 1–0–2 CDC Santana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/26 Portugal 2a Divisao | CDC Santana | 33-30 | Padroense |
| 01/05/26 Portugal 2a Divisao | Padroense | 29-26 | CDC Santana |
| 17/01/26 Portugal 2a Divisao | Padroense | 22-24 | CDC Santana |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Padroense | CDC Santana |
|---|---|---|
| Academico FC | 33-25 W | 31-33 L |
| AC Vermoim | 23-21 W | 25-25 D |
| Gondomar Cultural | 32-31 W | 27-28 L |
| Aguas Santas B | 29-37 L | 29-30 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Padroense (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Padroense
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | AC Lamego Portugal 2a Divisao |
32-34 | L |
| 13/06 | Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao |
33-25 | W |
| 10/06 | CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao |
30-33 | L |
| 06/06 | AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao |
45-24 | W |
| 04/06 | AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao |
23-21 | W |
| 30/05 | Gondomar Cultural Portugal 2a Divisao |
32-31 | W |
| 09/05 | Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao |
29-37 | L |
| 03/05 | Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao |
30-30 | D |
| 01/05 | CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao |
29-26 | W |
| 18/04 | AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao |
31-31 | D |
CDC Santana
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao |
29-30 | L |
| 10/06 | Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao |
33-30 | W |
| 06/06 | AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao |
25-25 | D |
| 30/05 | Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao |
31-33 | L |
| 09/05 | Gondomar Cultural Portugal 2a Divisao |
27-28 | L |
| 01/05 | Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao |
26-29 | L |
| 25/04 | AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao |
23-23 | D |
| 18/04 | CD Marienses Portugal 2a Divisao |
27-29 | L |
| 11/04 | Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao |
31-28 | W |
| 28/03 | Gondomar Cultural Portugal 2a Divisao |
31-29 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Padroense vs CDC Santana?
Our model gives 63% to Padroense.
How many points are expected in Padroense vs CDC Santana?
The model estimates 57.9 total points (Padroense 29.7 · CDC Santana 28.2).