Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 05/10, 20:00
Prediction: CSS Pinhal Frades vs Estrela Amadora
Team pages: Estrela Amadora
Prediction summary
Estimated points
55.7Total
CSS Pinhal Frades29.4
Estrela Amadora26.3
1X2
CSS Pinhal Frades
Estrela Amadora
Markets
Over 50.5 points 80%
Recent form · 10 last
CSS Pinhal Frades
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Estrela Amadora
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSS Pinhal Frades
1–3
Estrela Amadora
(4 last)
- Estrela Amadora26-27CSS Pinhal Frades
- CSS Pinhal Frades36-41Estrela Amadora
- Estrela Amadora32-30CSS Pinhal Frades
- Estrela Amadora32-30CSS Pinhal Frades
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSS Pinhal Frades 1554 · Estrela Amadora 1420
| CSS Pinhal Frades | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 83% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
55.7 points · Bet365 line 50.5 · +5.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points55.7CSS Pinhal Frades 29.4 · Estrela Amadora 26.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSS Pinhal Frades (rating 1554 vs 1420).
- CSS Pinhal Frades is a clear favourite (84% market).
- H2H favours Estrela Amadora: 3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| CSS Pinhal Frades | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 30.8 / 27.6 | 25.5 / 27.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 30.2 / 27.4 | 26 / 28 |
| Est. result | 29 | 26 |
Est. total55.7
Line O/U50.5
Diff.5.2
Over / Under80% / 20%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSS Pinhal Frades 1–0–3 Estrela Amadora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 Portugal 2a Divisao | Estrela Amadora | 26-27 | CSS Pinhal Frades |
| 07/12/24 Portugal 2a Divisao | CSS Pinhal Frades | 36-41 | Estrela Amadora |
| 21/09/24 Portugal 2a Divisao | Estrela Amadora | 32-30 | CSS Pinhal Frades |
| 04/11/23 Portugal Cup | Estrela Amadora | 32-30 | CSS Pinhal Frades |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSS Pinhal Frades
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | UJ Alverca Portugal 2a Divisao |
36-22 | W |
| 06/06 | C. Oriental Lisboa Portugal 2a Divisao |
32-31 | W |
| 03/06 | Alto Moinho Portugal 2a Divisao |
28-28 | D |
| 30/05 | CA Rangers Telheiras Portugal 2a Divisao |
24-25 | L |
| 23/05 | Samora Correia Portugal 2a Divisao |
31-31 | D |
| 15/05 | Club Naval Setubalense Portugal 2a Divisao |
30-26 | W |
| 13/05 | C. Oriental Lisboa Portugal 2a Divisao |
38-31 | W |
| 09/05 | GM 1 Dezembro Portugal 2a Divisao |
32-37 | L |
| 03/05 | UJ Alverca Portugal 2a Divisao |
22-21 | W |
| 30/04 | Club Naval Setubalense Portugal 2a Divisao |
35-24 | W |
Estrela Amadora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | GM 1 Dezembro Portugal 2a Divisao |
24-28 | L |
| 13/06 | Estarreja AC Portugal 2a Divisao |
26-30 | L |
| 06/06 | Juve Lis Portugal 2a Divisao |
27-26 | W |
| 04/06 | AA Sao Mamede Portugal 2a Divisao |
25-27 | L |
| 30/05 | SL Benfica B Portugal 2a Divisao |
28-29 | L |
| 09/05 | AC Fafe Portugal 2a Divisao |
27-30 | L |
| 02/05 | Estarreja AC Portugal 2a Divisao |
27-28 | L |
| 11/04 | SL Benfica B Portugal 2a Divisao |
26-32 | L |
| 03/04 | AA Sao Mamede Portugal 2a Divisao |
22-25 | L |
| 28/03 | AC Fafe Portugal 2a Divisao |
23-23 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSS Pinhal Frades vs Estrela Amadora?
Our model gives 84% to CSS Pinhal Frades.
How many points are expected in CSS Pinhal Frades vs Estrela Amadora?
The model estimates 55.7 total points (CSS Pinhal Frades 29.4 · Estrela Amadora 26.3).