Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 05/10, 19:00

Prediction: AC Lamego vs Gondomar Cultural

Team pages: AC Lamego

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58Total

AC Lamego29.3

Gondomar Cultural28.7

1X2

66% 34%

AC Lamego Gondomar Cultural

Recent form · 10 last

AC Lamego 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWLWL

Gondomar Cultural 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWLLWWWD

Head-to-head

AC Lamego 2–2 Gondomar Cultural (4 last)

AC Lamego38-27Gondomar Cultural
Gondomar Cultural33-28AC Lamego
Gondomar Cultural22-27AC Lamego
Gondomar Cultural32-28AC Lamego

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Lamego 1524 · Gondomar Cultural 1515

	AC Lamego	Gondomar Cultural
Our model	61%	39%
Market	62%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 58 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58AC Lamego 29.3 · Gondomar Cultural 28.7

Match keys

AC Lamego is a clear favourite (66% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	AC Lamego	Gondomar Cultural
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.8 / 27.4	30.5 / 28.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 30.6	31.4 / 28
Est. result	29	29

Est. total58

Line O/U58.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.45

X8.50

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 57.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
09:28 +26’	1.45	8.50	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Lamego 2–0–2 Gondomar Cultural

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/25 Portugal 2a Divisao	AC Lamego	38-27	Gondomar Cultural
05/04/25 Portugal 2a Divisao	Gondomar Cultural	33-28	AC Lamego
19/10/24 Portugal 2a Divisao	Gondomar Cultural	22-27	AC Lamego
01/12/22 Portugal Cup	Gondomar Cultural	32-28	AC Lamego

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Lamego

WWWLWLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros Portugal 2a Divisao	27-29	L
26/09	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	34-32	W
13/06	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros Portugal 2a Divisao	28-29	L
06/06	AD Albicastrense Portugal 2a Divisao	32-30	W
04/06	AC Coimbra Portugal 2a Divisao	23-33	L
23/05	AC Sismaria Portugal 2a Divisao	30-20	W
16/05	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	27-32	L
08/05	Alavarium AC Portugal 2a Divisao	26-25	W
01/05	ADC Benavente Portugal 2a Divisao	28-25	W
28/02	ADC Benavente Portugal 2a Divisao	33-19	W

Gondomar Cultural

DWLWLLWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	AC Lusitanos Portugal 2a Divisao	26-26	D
13/06	AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao	33-29	W
06/06	Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao	33-24	W
04/06	AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao	34-29	W
30/05	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	31-32	L
23/05	Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao	33-34	L
09/05	CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao	28-27	W
03/05	AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao	24-25	L
01/05	CD Marienses Portugal 2a Divisao	35-32	W
25/04	Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao	28-28	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Lamego vs Gondomar Cultural?

Our model gives 66% to AC Lamego.

How many points are expected in AC Lamego vs Gondomar Cultural?

The model estimates 58 total points (AC Lamego 29.3 · Gondomar Cultural 28.7).