Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 25/09, 20:30

Prediction: CMB Sporting Alicante vs BM Granollers

Team pages: CMB Sporting Alicante · BM Granollers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.2Total

CMB Sporting Alicante30.2

BM Granollers30

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

39% 61%

CMB Sporting Alicante BM Granollers

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

CMB Sporting Alicante 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDWLWWL

BM Granollers 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

CMB Sporting Alicante 2–0 BM Granollers (2 last)

CMB Sporting Alicante31-28BM Granollers
BM Granollers29-31CMB Sporting Alicante

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CMB Sporting Alicante 1507 · BM Granollers 1529

	CMB Sporting Alicante	BM Granollers
Our model	57%	43%
Market	25%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 60.2 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.2CMB Sporting Alicante 30.2 · BM Granollers 30

Match keys

H2H favours CMB Sporting Alicante: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CMB Sporting Alicante	BM Granollers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.4 / 30.7	30.9 / 28.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.4 / 31.4	32.2 / 29.6
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60.2

Line O/U62.5

Diff.2.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.80

X9.50

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.88

2 (-2.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 2.1 · Est. total: 60.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:47 +1’	3.80	9.50	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CMB Sporting Alicante 2–0–0 BM Granollers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Spain Liga Asobal	CMB Sporting Alicante	31-28	BM Granollers
15/11/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Granollers	29-31	CMB Sporting Alicante

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	2	2	0	0	87	59	4
2	Bidasoa Irun	2	2	0	0	68	57	4
3	Atletico Valladolid	2	2	0	0	62	52	4
4	BM Granollers	2	2	0	0	65	58	4
5	Caserio Ciudad Real	2	1	1	0	65	59	3
6	BM Torrelavega	2	1	0	1	62	51	2
7	Ciudad Encantada	2	1	0	1	61	60	2
8	Puerto Sagunto	2	1	0	1	63	65	2
9	CMB Sporting Alicante	2	1	0	1	61	64	2
10	BM Logrono La Rioja	2	1	0	1	65	75	2
11	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	2	1	0	1	58	69	2
12	Villa De Aranda	2	0	1	1	56	64	1
13	Ademar Leon	2	0	0	2	70	74	0
14	BM Cangas	2	0	0	2	66	71	0
15	BM Triana	2	0	0	2	57	64	0
16	BM Nava	2	0	0	2	44	68	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CMB Sporting Alicante	BM Granollers
Caserio Ciudad Real	29-35 L	38-29 W
Bidasoa Irun	35-38 L	32-31 W
BM Cangas	25-28 L	38-34 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: BM Granollers (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CMB Sporting Alicante

LWLLDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	29-35	L
12/09	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	32-29	W
31/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	34-27	W
22/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	32-34	L
08/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-32	W
02/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D
24/04	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	26-31	L
18/04	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	35-38	L
11/04	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-28	W
05/04	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	25-28	L

BM Granollers

WLWWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	27-24	W
11/09	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	38-34	W
31/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	38-29	W
23/05	BM Base Oviedo Spain Liga Asobal	26-30	L
22/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	32-31	W
20/05	BM Base Oviedo Spain Liga Asobal	30-29	W
08/05	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	31-30	W
01/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	33-25	W
25/04	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	27-33	L
19/04	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	27-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CMB Sporting Alicante vs BM Granollers?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (CMB Sporting Alicante 39% · BM Granollers 61%).

How many points are expected in CMB Sporting Alicante vs BM Granollers?

The model estimates 60.2 total points (CMB Sporting Alicante 30.2 · BM Granollers 30).