Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 03/10, 17:30

Prediction: FC Barcelona vs CMB Sporting Alicante

Team pages: FC Barcelona · CMB Sporting Alicante

Prediction summary

Estimated points

67.6Total

FC Barcelona39.4

CMB Sporting Alicante28.1

1X2

93% 7%

FC Barcelona CMB Sporting Alicante

Recent form · 10 last

FC Barcelona 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

CMB Sporting Alicante 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLWWLL

Head-to-head

FC Barcelona 2–0 CMB Sporting Alicante (2 last)

FC Barcelona51-32CMB Sporting Alicante
CMB Sporting Alicante24-37FC Barcelona

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Barcelona 1714 · CMB Sporting Alicante 1482

	FC Barcelona	CMB Sporting Alicante
Our model	85%	15%
Market	97%	1%

Estimated total (ours) 67.6 points · Bet365 line 67.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points67.6FC Barcelona 39.4 · CMB Sporting Alicante 28.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Barcelona (rating 1714 vs 1482).
FC Barcelona is a clear favourite (93% market).
H2H favours FC Barcelona: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	FC Barcelona	CMB Sporting Alicante
Points F\|A (Last 10)	42.4 / 26.1	31 / 32
Points F\|A (Last 5)	40.4 / 27	31.6 / 33.2
Est. result	39	28

Est. total67.6

Line O/U67.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.00

X65.00

267.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-14.5)1.88

2 (+14.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 67.51.88

Under 67.51.88

Diff.: 1.75 · Est. total: 65.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00
X	65.00 → 65.00	Bet365 65.00
2	67.00 → 67.00	Bet365 67.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 2.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:01	1.00	65.00	67.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Barcelona 2–0–0 CMB Sporting Alicante

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/02/26 Spain Liga Asobal	FC Barcelona	51-32	CMB Sporting Alicante
13/09/25 Spain Liga Asobal	CMB Sporting Alicante	24-37	FC Barcelona

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bidasoa Irun	3	3	0	0	107	89	6
2	BM Granollers	3	3	0	0	106	89	6
3	Atletico Valladolid	3	3	0	0	99	82	6
4	FC Barcelona	2	2	0	0	87	59	4
5	BM Torrelavega	3	2	0	1	97	79	4
6	BM Logrono La Rioja	3	2	0	1	103	108	4
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	2	1	1	0	65	59	3
8	Ciudad Encantada	3	1	0	2	97	97	2
9	Ademar Leon	3	1	0	2	103	106	2
10	BM Triana	3	1	0	2	94	100	2
11	Puerto Sagunto	3	1	0	2	93	102	2
12	CMB Sporting Alicante	3	1	0	2	92	105	2
13	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	3	1	0	2	86	104	2
14	Villa De Aranda	3	0	1	2	88	103	1
15	BM Cangas	3	0	0	3	98	104	0
16	BM Nava	3	0	0	3	77	106	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Barcelona	CMB Sporting Alicante
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	39-27 W	25-25 D
BM Torrelavega	36-24 W	32-29 W
BM Huesca	42-25 W	34-27 W
BM Nava	42-24 W	32-34 L
Ademar Leon	48-31 W	35-32 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Barcelona (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Barcelona

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	39-27	W
11/09	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	48-32	W
31/05	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	41-28	W
22/05	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	36-24	W
09/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	38-24	W
25/04	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	42-25	W
17/04	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	42-24	W
15/04	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	52-23	W
10/04	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	48-31	W
04/04	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	38-23	W

CMB Sporting Alicante

WLLDWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-41	L
20/09	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	29-35	L
12/09	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	32-29	W
31/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	34-27	W
22/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	32-34	L
08/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-32	W
02/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D
24/04	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	26-31	L
18/04	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	35-38	L
11/04	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Barcelona vs CMB Sporting Alicante?

Our model gives 93% to FC Barcelona.

How many points are expected in FC Barcelona vs CMB Sporting Alicante?

The model estimates 67.6 total points (FC Barcelona 39.4 · CMB Sporting Alicante 28.1).