Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 03/10, 19:00
Prediction: BM Torrelavega vs Villa De Aranda
Team pages: BM Torrelavega · Villa De Aranda
Prediction summary
Estimated points
60.3Total
BM Torrelavega31.3
Villa De Aranda29.1
1X2
BM Torrelavega
Villa De Aranda
Recent form · 10 last
BM Torrelavega
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Villa De Aranda
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BM Torrelavega
4–1–1
Villa De Aranda
(6 last)
- Villa De Aranda27-27BM Torrelavega
- BM Torrelavega28-25Villa De Aranda
- Villa De Aranda31-34BM Torrelavega
- BM Torrelavega25-26Villa De Aranda
- Villa De Aranda31-36BM Torrelavega
- BM Torrelavega30-26Villa De Aranda
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · BM Torrelavega 1538 · Villa De Aranda 1479
| BM Torrelavega | Villa De Aranda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 79% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
60.3 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +1.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points60.3BM Torrelavega 31.3 · Villa De Aranda 29.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BM Torrelavega (rating 1538 vs 1479).
- BM Torrelavega is a clear favourite (78% market).
- H2H favours BM Torrelavega: 4-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| BM Torrelavega | Villa De Aranda | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 33.1 / 29.4 | 30 / 30 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 32 / 29.2 | 30 / 32.8 |
| Est. result | 31 | 29 |
Est. total60.3
Line O/U58.5
Diff.1.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Torrelavega 4–1–1 Villa De Aranda
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/26 Club Friendlies | Villa De Aranda | 27-27 | BM Torrelavega |
| 08/03/26 Spain Liga Asobal | BM Torrelavega | 28-25 | Villa De Aranda |
| 11/10/25 Spain Liga Asobal | Villa De Aranda | 31-34 | BM Torrelavega |
| 22/02/25 Spain Liga Asobal | BM Torrelavega | 25-26 | Villa De Aranda |
| 29/09/24 Spain Liga Asobal | Villa De Aranda | 31-36 | BM Torrelavega |
| 18/08/21 Club Friendlies | BM Torrelavega | 30-26 | Villa De Aranda |
Standings · Spain Liga Asobal
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bidasoa Irun | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 89 | 6 |
| 2 | BM Granollers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 106 | 89 | 6 |
| 3 | Atletico Valladolid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 82 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 59 | 4 |
| 5 | BM Torrelavega | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 79 | 4 |
| 6 | BM Logrono La Rioja | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 103 | 108 | 4 |
| 7 | Caserio Ciudad Real | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 65 | 59 | 3 |
| 8 | Ciudad Encantada | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 97 | 97 | 2 |
| 9 | Ademar Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 103 | 106 | 2 |
| 10 | BM Triana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 94 | 100 | 2 |
| 11 | Puerto Sagunto | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 93 | 102 | 2 |
| 12 | CMB Sporting Alicante | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 92 | 105 | 2 |
| 13 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 86 | 104 | 2 |
| 14 | Villa De Aranda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 88 | 103 | 1 |
| 15 | BM Cangas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 98 | 104 | 0 |
| 16 | BM Nava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 77 | 106 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BM Torrelavega | Villa De Aranda |
|---|---|---|
| Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil | 35-28 W | 27-28 L |
| Ademar Leon | 40-33 W | 35-33 W |
| Caserio Ciudad Real | 35-28 W | 30-30 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: BM Torrelavega (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BM Torrelavega
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal |
35-28 | W |
| 19/09 | BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal |
33-19 | W |
| 12/09 | CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal |
29-32 | L |
| 31/05 | BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal |
39-31 | W |
| 22/05 | FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal |
24-36 | L |
| 09/05 | BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal |
33-28 | W |
| 02/05 | BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal |
38-33 | W |
| 26/04 | Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal |
40-33 | W |
| 18/04 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal |
25-26 | L |
| 11/04 | Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal |
35-28 | W |
Villa De Aranda
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal |
32-39 | L |
| 19/09 | Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal |
26-34 | L |
| 13/09 | Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal |
30-30 | D |
| 30/05 | Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal |
35-33 | W |
| 22/05 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal |
27-28 | L |
| 09/05 | Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal |
32-26 | W |
| 02/05 | Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal |
26-32 | L |
| 25/04 | BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal |
33-27 | W |
| 19/04 | BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal |
26-28 | L |
| 12/04 | Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal |
33-23 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BM Torrelavega vs Villa De Aranda?
Our model gives 78% to BM Torrelavega.
How many points are expected in BM Torrelavega vs Villa De Aranda?
The model estimates 60.3 total points (BM Torrelavega 31.3 · Villa De Aranda 29.1).