Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 25/09, 19:00

Prediction: Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs BM Torrelavega

Team pages: Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil · BM Torrelavega

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58Total

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil28.2

BM Torrelavega29.8

1X2

42% 58%

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil BM Torrelavega

Recent form · 10 last

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLDLWLWL

BM Torrelavega 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWLWLW

Head-to-head

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 2–4 BM Torrelavega (6 last)

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil26-25BM Torrelavega
BM Torrelavega32-27Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil26-30BM Torrelavega
BM Torrelavega29-26Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil32-28BM Torrelavega
BM Torrelavega31-28Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 1493 · BM Torrelavega 1505

	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	BM Torrelavega
Our model	58%	42%
Market	27%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 58 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 28.2 · BM Torrelavega 29.8

Match keys

H2H favours BM Torrelavega: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	BM Torrelavega
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.2 / 29.7	33 / 30
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.8 / 30.6	31.6 / 29.2
Est. result	28	30

Est. total58

Line O/U57.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.40

X8.50

21.52

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.78

2 (-2.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.88

Under 57.51.88

Diff.: 1.95 · Est. total: 59.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.52 → 1.52	Bet365 1.52

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:12 +37’	3.40	8.50	1.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 2–0–4 BM Torrelavega

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	26-25	BM Torrelavega
23/11/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	32-27	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
16/02/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	26-30	BM Torrelavega
21/09/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	29-26	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
24/03/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	32-28	BM Torrelavega
21/10/23 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	31-28	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	2	2	0	0	87	59	4
2	Bidasoa Irun	2	2	0	0	68	57	4
3	Atletico Valladolid	2	2	0	0	62	52	4
4	BM Granollers	2	2	0	0	65	58	4
5	Caserio Ciudad Real	2	1	1	0	65	59	3
6	BM Torrelavega	2	1	0	1	62	51	2
7	Ciudad Encantada	2	1	0	1	61	60	2
8	Puerto Sagunto	2	1	0	1	63	65	2
9	CMB Sporting Alicante	2	1	0	1	61	64	2
10	BM Logrono La Rioja	2	1	0	1	65	75	2
11	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	2	1	0	1	58	69	2
12	Villa De Aranda	2	0	1	1	56	64	1
13	Ademar Leon	2	0	0	2	70	74	0
14	BM Cangas	2	0	0	2	66	71	0
15	BM Triana	2	0	0	2	57	64	0
16	BM Nava	2	0	0	2	44	68	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	BM Torrelavega
FC Barcelona	27-39 L	24-36 L
CMB Sporting Alicante	25-25 D	29-32 L
BM Guadalajara	25-25 D	39-31 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

LDWLDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	27-39	L
12/09	BM Sevilla Spain Liga Asobal	31-30	W
31/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	30-32	L
22/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-27	W
10/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	23-25	L
02/05	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D
26/04	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	24-31	L
18/04	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	26-25	W
10/04	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D
04/04	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	23-38	L

BM Torrelavega

DWLWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	33-19	W
12/09	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	29-32	L
31/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	39-31	W
22/05	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	24-36	L
09/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	33-28	W
02/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	38-33	W
26/04	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	40-33	W
18/04	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	25-26	L
11/04	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	35-28	W
04/04	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	34-34	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs BM Torrelavega?

Our model gives 58% to BM Torrelavega.

How many points are expected in Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs BM Torrelavega?

The model estimates 58 total points (Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 28.2 · BM Torrelavega 29.8).