Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: Bidasoa Irun vs BM Nava

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.3Total

Bidasoa Irun32.3

BM Nava31

1X2

78% 22%

Bidasoa Irun BM Nava

Recent form · 10 last

Bidasoa Irun 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWWWLW

BM Nava 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Bidasoa Irun 3–3 BM Nava (6 last)

Bidasoa Irun26-27BM Nava
BM Nava30-35Bidasoa Irun
Bidasoa Irun37-29BM Nava
BM Nava37-33Bidasoa Irun
BM Nava29-28Bidasoa Irun
Bidasoa Irun37-26BM Nava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bidasoa Irun 1541 · BM Nava 1506

	Bidasoa Irun	BM Nava
Our model	65%	35%
Market	81%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 63.3 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.3Bidasoa Irun 32.3 · BM Nava 31

Match keys

Bidasoa Irun is a clear favourite (78% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Bidasoa Irun	BM Nava
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.2 / 32.2	31.5 / 31.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 29.2	33.8 / 29.8
Est. result	32	31

Est. total63.3

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.16

X14.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.88

2 (+5.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 2.6 · Est. total: 64.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.16 → 1.16	Bet365 1.16
X	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:41 +131’	1.16	14.00	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bidasoa Irun 3–0–3 BM Nava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Spain Liga Asobal	Bidasoa Irun	26-27	BM Nava
04/10/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Nava	30-35	Bidasoa Irun
04/04/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Bidasoa Irun	37-29	BM Nava
03/11/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Nava	37-33	Bidasoa Irun
23/03/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Nava	29-28	Bidasoa Irun
21/10/23 Spain Liga Asobal	Bidasoa Irun	37-26	BM Nava

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ademar Leon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bidasoa Irun	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caserio Ciudad Real	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ciudad Encantada	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Granollers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Logrono La Rioja	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Nava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Torrelavega	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Villa De Aranda	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Cangas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Puerto Sagunto	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CMB Sporting Alicante	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bidasoa Irun	BM Nava
Ciudad Encantada	36-30 W	32-33 L
Atletico Valladolid	36-33 W	35-36 L
CMB Sporting Alicante	38-35 W	34-32 W
BM Logrono La Rioja	34-32 W	25-28 L
BM Torrelavega	34-34 D	33-38 L
BM Guadalajara	38-36 W	33-26 W
FC Barcelona	27-39 L	24-42 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Bidasoa Irun (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bidasoa Irun

LWDWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	36-30	W
22/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-32	L
10/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	26-25	W
02/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	32-26	W
26/04	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	36-33	W
18/04	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	38-35	W
11/04	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	34-32	W
04/04	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	34-34	D
29/03	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	38-36	W
14/03	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	27-39	L

BM Nava

LLLWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/06	Agustinos Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	41-28	W
10/06	Agustinos Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	34-25	W
31/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	35-36	L
22/05	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	34-32	W
09/05	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	25-28	L
02/05	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	33-38	L
26/04	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	33-26	W
17/04	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	24-42	L
12/04	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	24-25	L
05/04	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	32-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bidasoa Irun vs BM Nava?

Our model gives 78% to Bidasoa Irun.

How many points are expected in Bidasoa Irun vs BM Nava?

The model estimates 63.3 total points (Bidasoa Irun 32.3 · BM Nava 31).