Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Ademar Leon vs Ciudad Encantada

Team pages: Ciudad Encantada

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.7Total

Ademar Leon32.9

Ciudad Encantada30.8

1X2

66% 34%

Ademar Leon Ciudad Encantada

Recent form · 10 last

Ademar Leon 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLWLDLLLL

Ciudad Encantada 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Ademar Leon 3–1–2 Ciudad Encantada (6 last)

Ciudad Encantada30-24Ademar Leon
Ademar Leon29-28Ciudad Encantada
Ciudad Encantada30-30Ademar Leon
Ademar Leon33-32Ciudad Encantada
Ademar Leon37-27Ciudad Encantada
Ciudad Encantada39-32Ademar Leon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ademar Leon 1442 · Ciudad Encantada 1461

	Ademar Leon	Ciudad Encantada
Our model	57%	43%
Market	65%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 63.7 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +7.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.7Ademar Leon 32.9 · Ciudad Encantada 30.8

Match keys

Ademar Leon is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Ademar Leon: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ademar Leon	Ciudad Encantada
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.4 / 34.9	28.3 / 33.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.4 / 33.8	28.8 / 31.2
Est. result	33	31

Est. total63.7

Line O/U56.5

Diff.7.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.45

X9.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.88

2 (+2.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.88

Under 56.51.88

Diff.: 8.25 · Est. total: 64.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:40 +7’	1.45	9.00	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ademar Leon 3–1–2 Ciudad Encantada

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Spain Liga Asobal	Ciudad Encantada	30-24	Ademar Leon
18/10/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Ademar Leon	29-28	Ciudad Encantada
23/03/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Ciudad Encantada	30-30	Ademar Leon
18/10/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Ademar Leon	33-32	Ciudad Encantada
24/03/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Ademar Leon	37-27	Ciudad Encantada
20/10/23 Spain Liga Asobal	Ciudad Encantada	39-32	Ademar Leon

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	1	1	0	0	48	32	2
2	Bidasoa Irun	1	1	0	0	35	25	2
3	BM Granollers	1	1	0	0	38	34	2
4	CMB Sporting Alicante	1	1	0	0	32	29	2
5	Atletico Valladolid	1	1	0	0	28	26	2
6	Puerto Sagunto	1	1	0	0	39	38	2
7	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	1	1	0	0	31	30	2
8	Caserio Ciudad Real	1	0	1	0	30	30	1
8	Villa De Aranda	1	0	1	0	30	30	1
10	Ademar Leon	1	0	0	1	38	39	0
11	BM Triana	1	0	0	1	30	31	0
12	Ciudad Encantada	1	0	0	1	26	28	0
13	BM Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	29	32	0
14	BM Cangas	1	0	0	1	34	38	0
15	BM Nava	1	0	0	1	25	35	0
16	BM Logrono La Rioja	1	0	0	1	32	48	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ademar Leon	Ciudad Encantada
Villa De Aranda	33-35 L	23-33 L
Atletico Valladolid	27-28 L	26-28 L
BM Guadalajara	34-31 W	34-33 W
FC Barcelona	31-48 L	23-52 L
BM Huesca	33-33 D	35-33 W
BM Nava	31-28 W	33-32 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ademar Leon (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ademar Leon

WDLWLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	38-39	L
30/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	33-35	L
23/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	27-28	L
08/05	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	32-35	L
02/05	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	32-32	D
26/04	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	33-40	L
17/04	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	34-31	W
10/04	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	31-48	L
05/04	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	33-33	D
29/03	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	31-28	W

Ciudad Encantada

LWLLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	26-28	L
31/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	30-36	L
22/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	34-33	W
08/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	30-31	L
25/04	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	24-28	L
19/04	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	35-33	W
15/04	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	23-52	L
12/04	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	23-33	L
05/04	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	33-32	W
28/03	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	25-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ademar Leon vs Ciudad Encantada?

Our model gives 66% to Ademar Leon.

How many points are expected in Ademar Leon vs Ciudad Encantada?

The model estimates 63.7 total points (Ademar Leon 32.9 · Ciudad Encantada 30.8).