Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: BM Torrelavega vs BM Nava

Team pages: BM Torrelavega · BM Nava

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.5Total

BM Torrelavega32.1

BM Nava30.4

1X2

74% 26%

BM Torrelavega BM Nava

Recent form · 10 last

BM Torrelavega 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWWLWL

BM Nava 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLWWL

Head-to-head

BM Torrelavega 5–1 BM Nava (6 last)

BM Nava33-38BM Torrelavega
BM Torrelavega28-25BM Nava
BM Torrelavega28-24BM Nava
BM Nava28-29BM Torrelavega
BM Torrelavega28-29BM Nava
BM Nava36-41BM Torrelavega

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Torrelavega 1483 · BM Nava 1477

	BM Torrelavega	BM Nava
Our model	61%	39%
Market	76%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 62.5 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.5BM Torrelavega 32.1 · BM Nava 30.4

Match keys

BM Torrelavega is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours BM Torrelavega: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Torrelavega	BM Nava
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33 / 31.6	30.8 / 31.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.6 / 32	33.8 / 31.2
Est. result	32	30

Est. total62.5

Line O/U58.5

Diff.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.22

X11.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.88

2 (+4.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.88

Under 58.51.88

Diff.: 4.95 · Est. total: 63.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:41 +6’	1.22	11.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Torrelavega 5–0–1 BM Nava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Nava	33-38	BM Torrelavega
07/12/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	28-25	BM Nava
18/04/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	28-24	BM Nava
23/11/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Nava	28-29	BM Torrelavega
21/08/24 Club Friendlies	BM Torrelavega	28-29	BM Nava
10/04/24 Spain Copa del Rey	BM Nava	36-41	BM Torrelavega

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	1	1	0	0	48	32	2
2	Bidasoa Irun	1	1	0	0	35	25	2
3	BM Granollers	1	1	0	0	38	34	2
4	CMB Sporting Alicante	1	1	0	0	32	29	2
5	Atletico Valladolid	1	1	0	0	28	26	2
6	Puerto Sagunto	1	1	0	0	39	38	2
7	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	1	1	0	0	31	30	2
8	Caserio Ciudad Real	1	0	1	0	30	30	1
8	Villa De Aranda	1	0	1	0	30	30	1
10	Ademar Leon	1	0	0	1	38	39	0
11	BM Triana	1	0	0	1	30	31	0
12	Ciudad Encantada	1	0	0	1	26	28	0
13	BM Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	29	32	0
14	BM Cangas	1	0	0	1	34	38	0
15	BM Nava	1	0	0	1	25	35	0
16	BM Logrono La Rioja	1	0	0	1	32	48	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Torrelavega	BM Nava
CMB Sporting Alicante	29-32 L	34-32 W
BM Guadalajara	39-31 W	33-26 W
FC Barcelona	24-36 L	24-42 L
BM Huesca	33-28 W	24-25 L
Bidasoa Irun	34-34 D	25-35 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: BM Torrelavega (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Torrelavega

LDWLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	29-32	L
31/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	39-31	W
22/05	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	24-36	L
09/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	33-28	W
02/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	38-33	W
26/04	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	40-33	W
18/04	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	25-26	L
11/04	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	35-28	W
04/04	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	34-34	D
27/03	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	33-35	L

BM Nava

LLWLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	25-35	L
13/06	Agustinos Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	41-28	W
10/06	Agustinos Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	34-25	W
31/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	35-36	L
22/05	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	34-32	W
09/05	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	25-28	L
02/05	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	33-38	L
26/04	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	33-26	W
17/04	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	24-42	L
12/04	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	24-25	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Torrelavega vs BM Nava?

Our model gives 74% to BM Torrelavega.

How many points are expected in BM Torrelavega vs BM Nava?

The model estimates 62.5 total points (BM Torrelavega 32.1 · BM Nava 30.4).