Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: BM Cangas vs Bidasoa Irun

Team pages: BM Cangas · Bidasoa Irun

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.1Total

BM Cangas29.2

Bidasoa Irun30.8

1X2

28% 72%

BM Cangas Bidasoa Irun

Recent form · 10 last

BM Cangas 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLDWL

Bidasoa Irun 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

BM Cangas 0–6 Bidasoa Irun (6 last)

BM Cangas25-26Bidasoa Irun
Bidasoa Irun30-27BM Cangas
BM Cangas30-31Bidasoa Irun
Bidasoa Irun30-24BM Cangas
Bidasoa Irun34-23BM Cangas
BM Cangas25-27Bidasoa Irun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Cangas 1472 · Bidasoa Irun 1561

	BM Cangas	Bidasoa Irun
Our model	47%	53%
Market	15%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 60.1 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.1BM Cangas 29.2 · Bidasoa Irun 30.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bidasoa Irun (rating 1472 vs 1561).
Bidasoa Irun is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours Bidasoa Irun: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Cangas	Bidasoa Irun
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.7 / 29.2	34 / 30.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 31	32 / 27.6
Est. result	29	31

Est. total60.1

Line O/U59.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.50

X12.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.88

2 (-4.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 1.35 · Est. total: 60.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:34 +14’	6.50	12.00	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Cangas 0–0–6 Bidasoa Irun

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	25-26	Bidasoa Irun
12/12/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Bidasoa Irun	30-27	BM Cangas
30/03/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	30-31	Bidasoa Irun
26/10/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Bidasoa Irun	30-24	BM Cangas
26/04/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Bidasoa Irun	34-23	BM Cangas
26/11/23 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	25-27	Bidasoa Irun

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	1	1	0	0	48	32	2
2	Bidasoa Irun	1	1	0	0	35	25	2
3	BM Granollers	1	1	0	0	38	34	2
4	CMB Sporting Alicante	1	1	0	0	32	29	2
5	Atletico Valladolid	1	1	0	0	28	26	2
6	Puerto Sagunto	1	1	0	0	39	38	2
7	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	1	1	0	0	31	30	2
8	Caserio Ciudad Real	1	0	1	0	30	30	1
8	Villa De Aranda	1	0	1	0	30	30	1
10	Ademar Leon	1	0	0	1	38	39	0
11	BM Triana	1	0	0	1	30	31	0
12	Ciudad Encantada	1	0	0	1	26	28	0
13	BM Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	29	32	0
14	BM Cangas	1	0	0	1	34	38	0
15	BM Nava	1	0	0	1	25	35	0
16	BM Logrono La Rioja	1	0	0	1	32	48	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Cangas	Bidasoa Irun
BM Granollers	34-38 L	31-32 L
Ciudad Encantada	28-24 W	36-30 W
Villa De Aranda	28-26 W	32-26 W
Atletico Valladolid	23-29 L	36-33 W
CMB Sporting Alicante	28-25 W	38-35 W
BM Logrono La Rioja	26-33 L	34-32 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bidasoa Irun (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Cangas

LWLWWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	34-38	L
31/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	32-30	W
22/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	28-28	D
10/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	25-26	L
01/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	25-33	L
25/04	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	28-24	W
19/04	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-26	W
11/04	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	23-29	L
05/04	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	28-25	W
28/03	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	26-33	L

Bidasoa Irun

WDWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	35-25	W
31/05	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	36-30	W
22/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-32	L
10/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	26-25	W
02/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	32-26	W
26/04	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	36-33	W
18/04	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	38-35	W
11/04	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	34-32	W
04/04	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	34-34	D
29/03	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	38-36	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Cangas vs Bidasoa Irun?

Our model gives 72% to Bidasoa Irun.

How many points are expected in BM Cangas vs Bidasoa Irun?

The model estimates 60.1 total points (BM Cangas 29.2 · Bidasoa Irun 30.8).