Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs FC Barcelona

Team pages: FC Barcelona

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.8Total

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil26.6

FC Barcelona35.2

1X2

14% 86%

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil FC Barcelona

Recent form · 10 last

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWLDLWLW

FC Barcelona 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 0–6 FC Barcelona (6 last)

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil23-38FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona41-29Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil26-42FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona44-26Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
FC Barcelona32-18Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil28-36FC Barcelona

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 1502 · FC Barcelona 1701

	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	FC Barcelona
Our model	32%	68%
Market	2%	95%

Estimated total (ours) 61.8 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -2.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.8Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 26.6 · FC Barcelona 35.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Barcelona (rating 1502 vs 1701).
FC Barcelona is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours FC Barcelona: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	FC Barcelona
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.6 / 28.5	42.8 / 26
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.4 / 27.8	41 / 26.6
Est. result	27	35

Est. total61.8

Line O/U64.5

Diff.2.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

145.00

X40.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+12.5)1.88

2 (-12.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 2.55 · Est. total: 61.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	45.00 → 45.00	Bet365 45.00
X	40.00 → 40.00	Bet365 40.00
2	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:29 +18’	45.00	40.00	1.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 0–0–6 FC Barcelona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	23-38	FC Barcelona
08/11/25 Spain Liga Asobal	FC Barcelona	41-29	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
17/05/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	26-42	FC Barcelona
12/12/24 Spain Liga Asobal	FC Barcelona	44-26	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
09/03/24 Spain Liga Asobal	FC Barcelona	32-18	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
15/10/23 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	28-36	FC Barcelona

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	1	1	0	0	48	32	2
2	Bidasoa Irun	1	1	0	0	35	25	2
3	BM Granollers	1	1	0	0	38	34	2
4	CMB Sporting Alicante	1	1	0	0	32	29	2
5	Atletico Valladolid	1	1	0	0	28	26	2
6	Puerto Sagunto	1	1	0	0	39	38	2
7	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	1	1	0	0	31	30	2
8	Caserio Ciudad Real	1	0	1	0	30	30	1
8	Villa De Aranda	1	0	1	0	30	30	1
10	Ademar Leon	1	0	0	1	38	39	0
11	BM Triana	1	0	0	1	30	31	0
12	Ciudad Encantada	1	0	0	1	26	28	0
13	BM Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	29	32	0
14	BM Cangas	1	0	0	1	34	38	0
15	BM Nava	1	0	0	1	25	35	0
16	BM Logrono La Rioja	1	0	0	1	32	48	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	FC Barcelona
BM Logrono La Rioja	24-31 L	48-32 W
BM Torrelavega	26-25 W	36-24 W
BM Guadalajara	25-25 D	38-24 W
BM Huesca	31-27 W	42-25 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Barcelona (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

WLDWLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	BM Sevilla Spain Liga Asobal	31-30	W
31/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	30-32	L
22/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-27	W
10/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	23-25	L
02/05	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D
26/04	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	24-31	L
18/04	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	26-25	W
10/04	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D
04/04	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	23-38	L
29/03	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	31-27	W

FC Barcelona

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	48-32	W
31/05	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	41-28	W
22/05	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	36-24	W
09/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	38-24	W
25/04	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	42-25	W
17/04	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	42-24	W
15/04	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	52-23	W
10/04	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	48-31	W
04/04	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	38-23	W
28/03	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	43-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs FC Barcelona?

Our model gives 86% to FC Barcelona.

How many points are expected in Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs FC Barcelona?

The model estimates 61.8 total points (Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 26.6 · FC Barcelona 35.2).