Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 12/09, 20:30

Prediction: CMB Sporting Alicante vs BM Torrelavega

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.4Total

CMB Sporting Alicante31.2

BM Torrelavega31.2

1X2

38% 62%

CMB Sporting Alicante BM Torrelavega

Recent form · 10 last

CMB Sporting Alicante 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDWLW

BM Torrelavega 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWWWLW

Head-to-head

CMB Sporting Alicante 0–3 BM Torrelavega (3 last)

BM Torrelavega29-28CMB Sporting Alicante
CMB Sporting Alicante32-38BM Torrelavega
CMB Sporting Alicante24-30BM Torrelavega

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CMB Sporting Alicante 1486 · BM Torrelavega 1517

	CMB Sporting Alicante	BM Torrelavega
Our model	56%	44%
Market	23%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 62.4 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +2.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.4CMB Sporting Alicante 31.2 · BM Torrelavega 31.2

Match keys

H2H favours BM Torrelavega: 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CMB Sporting Alicante	BM Torrelavega
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.6 / 30.5	33.1 / 31.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.4 / 29.8	34.8 / 32.2
Est. result	31	31

Est. total62.4

Line O/U59.5

Diff.2.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X9.50

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.95

2 (-2.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 3.2 · Est. total: 62.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:15 +38’	4.00	9.50	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CMB Sporting Alicante 0–0–3 BM Torrelavega

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	29-28	CMB Sporting Alicante
28/09/25 Spain Liga Asobal	CMB Sporting Alicante	32-38	BM Torrelavega
20/03/21 Spain Div. Honor Plata	CMB Sporting Alicante	24-30	BM Torrelavega

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ademar Leon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bidasoa Irun	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caserio Ciudad Real	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ciudad Encantada	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Granollers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Logrono La Rioja	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Nava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Torrelavega	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Villa De Aranda	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Cangas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Puerto Sagunto	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CMB Sporting Alicante	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CMB Sporting Alicante	BM Torrelavega
BM Huesca	34-27 W	33-28 W
BM Nava	32-34 L	38-33 W
Ademar Leon	35-32 W	40-33 W
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	25-25 D	25-26 L
Caserio Ciudad Real	26-31 L	35-28 W
Bidasoa Irun	35-38 L	34-34 D
BM Granollers	31-28 W	33-35 L
BM Cangas	25-28 L	30-28 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: BM Torrelavega (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CMB Sporting Alicante

LWLWLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	34-27	W
22/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	32-34	L
08/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-32	W
02/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D
24/04	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	26-31	L
18/04	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	35-38	L
11/04	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-28	W
05/04	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	25-28	L
28/03	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	33-31	W
14/03	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	30-31	L

BM Torrelavega

WLDWLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	39-31	W
22/05	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	24-36	L
09/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	33-28	W
02/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	38-33	W
26/04	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	40-33	W
18/04	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	25-26	L
11/04	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	35-28	W
04/04	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	34-34	D
27/03	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	33-35	L
14/03	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	30-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CMB Sporting Alicante vs BM Torrelavega?

Our model gives 62% to BM Torrelavega.

How many points are expected in CMB Sporting Alicante vs BM Torrelavega?

The model estimates 62.4 total points (CMB Sporting Alicante 31.2 · BM Torrelavega 31.2).