Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 12/09, 17:00

Prediction: Ciudad Encantada vs Atletico Valladolid

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.5Total

Ciudad Encantada29.2

Atletico Valladolid30.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

46% 54%

Ciudad Encantada Atletico Valladolid

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Ciudad Encantada 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLLWL

Atletico Valladolid 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Ciudad Encantada 2–1–3 Atletico Valladolid (6 last)

Atletico Valladolid33-25Ciudad Encantada
Ciudad Encantada31-23Atletico Valladolid
Atletico Valladolid28-27Ciudad Encantada
Ciudad Encantada30-30Atletico Valladolid
Ciudad Encantada33-27Atletico Valladolid
Atletico Valladolid29-26Ciudad Encantada

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ciudad Encantada 1493 · Atletico Valladolid 1520

	Ciudad Encantada	Atletico Valladolid
Our model	56%	44%
Market	35%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 59.5 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.5Ciudad Encantada 29.2 · Atletico Valladolid 30.3

Match keys

H2H favours Atletico Valladolid: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ciudad Encantada	Atletico Valladolid
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.7 / 33.5	29.7 / 29.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 32.2	30.4 / 30.8
Est. result	29	30

Est. total59.5

Line O/U56.5

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.70

X8.00

21.78

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.88

Under 56.51.88

Diff.: 4.05 · Est. total: 60.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 2.70▼	Bet365 2.70
X	8.50 → 8.00▼	Bet365 8.00
2	1.62 → 1.78▲	Bet365 1.78

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:42 +8’	3.10	8.50	1.62
15:33 +14’	2.70▼	8.00▼	1.78▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ciudad Encantada 2–1–3 Atletico Valladolid

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Spain Liga Asobal	Atletico Valladolid	33-25	Ciudad Encantada
24/10/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Ciudad Encantada	31-23	Atletico Valladolid
29/03/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Atletico Valladolid	28-27	Ciudad Encantada
27/10/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Ciudad Encantada	30-30	Atletico Valladolid
09/03/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Ciudad Encantada	33-27	Atletico Valladolid
14/10/23 Spain Liga Asobal	Atletico Valladolid	29-26	Ciudad Encantada

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ademar Leon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bidasoa Irun	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caserio Ciudad Real	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ciudad Encantada	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Granollers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Logrono La Rioja	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Nava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Torrelavega	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Villa De Aranda	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Cangas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Puerto Sagunto	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CMB Sporting Alicante	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ciudad Encantada	Atletico Valladolid
Bidasoa Irun	30-36 L	33-36 L
BM Granollers	30-31 L	23-27 L
BM Cangas	24-28 L	29-23 W
Villa De Aranda	23-33 L	29-33 L
BM Nava	33-32 W	36-35 W
Ademar Leon	30-24 W	28-27 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Valladolid (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ciudad Encantada

WLWLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	30-36	L
22/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	34-33	W
08/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	30-31	L
25/04	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	24-28	L
19/04	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	35-33	W
15/04	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	23-52	L
12/04	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	23-33	L
05/04	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	33-32	W
28/03	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	25-33	L
13/03	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	30-24	W

Atletico Valladolid

WWLWLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	36-35	W
23/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	28-27	W
10/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	25-23	W
03/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	30-33	L
26/04	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	33-36	L
19/04	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	23-27	L
11/04	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	29-23	W
05/04	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	29-33	L
28/03	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	33-25	W
14/03	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	31-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ciudad Encantada vs Atletico Valladolid?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Ciudad Encantada 46% · Atletico Valladolid 54%).

How many points are expected in Ciudad Encantada vs Atletico Valladolid?

The model estimates 59.5 total points (Ciudad Encantada 29.2 · Atletico Valladolid 30.3).