Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 11/09, 19:00

Prediction: BM Granollers vs BM Cangas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.1Total

BM Granollers29.9

BM Cangas27.2

1X2

82% 18%

BM Granollers BM Cangas

Markets

Under 60.5 points 68%

Recent form · 10 last

BM Granollers 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWWLW

BM Cangas 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLLDW

Head-to-head

BM Granollers 4–1–1 BM Cangas (6 last)

BM Granollers33-25BM Cangas
BM Cangas27-33BM Granollers
BM Granollers34-31BM Cangas
BM Cangas38-36BM Granollers
BM Cangas32-32BM Granollers
BM Granollers40-31BM Cangas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Granollers 1521 · BM Cangas 1464

	BM Granollers	BM Cangas
Our model	68%	32%
Market	86%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 57.1 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -3.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.1BM Granollers 29.9 · BM Cangas 27.2

Over / Under 60.5Under · 68%recent trend · ~57.3 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BM Granollers (rating 1521 vs 1464).
BM Granollers is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours BM Granollers: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Granollers	BM Cangas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.6 / 28.5	27.1 / 28.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.4 / 29.8	27.6 / 28.2
Est. result	30	27

Est. total57.1

Line O/U60.5

Diff.3.4

Over / Under32% / 68%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.10

X16.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.88

2 (+6.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.88

Under 60.51.88

Diff.: 3.7 · Est. total: 56.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:57 +1’	1.10	16.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Granollers 4–1–1 BM Cangas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Granollers	33-25	BM Cangas
06/12/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	27-33	BM Granollers
16/05/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Granollers	34-31	BM Cangas
15/12/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	38-36	BM Granollers
08/03/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	32-32	BM Granollers
14/10/23 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Granollers	40-31	BM Cangas

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ademar Leon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bidasoa Irun	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caserio Ciudad Real	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ciudad Encantada	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Granollers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Logrono La Rioja	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Nava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Torrelavega	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Villa De Aranda	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Cangas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Puerto Sagunto	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CMB Sporting Alicante	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Granollers	BM Cangas
Caserio Ciudad Real	38-29 W	28-28 D
Bidasoa Irun	32-31 W	25-26 L
Ciudad Encantada	31-30 W	28-24 W
Villa De Aranda	27-33 L	28-26 W
Atletico Valladolid	27-23 W	23-29 L
CMB Sporting Alicante	28-31 L	28-25 W
BM Logrono La Rioja	24-24 D	26-33 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: BM Granollers (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Granollers

DLWLWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	38-29	W
23/05	BM Base Oviedo Spain Liga Asobal	26-30	L
22/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	32-31	W
20/05	BM Base Oviedo Spain Liga Asobal	30-29	W
08/05	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	31-30	W
01/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	33-25	W
25/04	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	27-33	L
19/04	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	27-23	W
11/04	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	28-31	L
03/04	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	24-24	D

BM Cangas

LLWLWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	32-30	W
22/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	28-28	D
10/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	25-26	L
01/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	25-33	L
25/04	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	28-24	W
19/04	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-26	W
11/04	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	23-29	L
05/04	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	28-25	W
28/03	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	26-33	L
14/03	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	28-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Granollers vs BM Cangas?

Our model gives 82% to BM Granollers.

How many points are expected in BM Granollers vs BM Cangas?

The model estimates 57.1 total points (BM Granollers 29.9 · BM Cangas 27.2).

Over or under 60.5 points?

Recent history points to under 60.5 points (68%).