Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 15/10, 19:00

Prediction: OV Helsingborg vs IFK Skovde HK

Team pages: OV Helsingborg · IFK Skovde HK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60Total

OV Helsingborg30.2

IFK Skovde HK29.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

53% 47%

OV Helsingborg IFK Skovde HK

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

OV Helsingborg 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWDLWL

IFK Skovde HK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLLWD

Head-to-head

OV Helsingborg 3–3 IFK Skovde HK (6 last)

OV Helsingborg34-35IFK Skovde HK
IFK Skovde HK35-33OV Helsingborg
OV Helsingborg36-28IFK Skovde HK
IFK Skovde HK25-21OV Helsingborg
IFK Skovde HK25-30OV Helsingborg
OV Helsingborg30-23IFK Skovde HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OV Helsingborg 1504 · IFK Skovde HK 1521

	OV Helsingborg	IFK Skovde HK
Our model	58%	42%
Market	44%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 60 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60OV Helsingborg 30.2 · IFK Skovde HK 29.8

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	OV Helsingborg	IFK Skovde HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.8 / 29.5	28.1 / 29.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 28.6	27.2 / 29.8
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.10

X7.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.10

2 (+0.5)1.72

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.90

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 3.4 · Est. total: 58.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	1.85 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:04 +12’	2.40	7.50	1.85
11:11 +6’	2.10▼	7.50	2.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · OV Helsingborg 3–0–3 IFK Skovde HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	OV Helsingborg	34-35	IFK Skovde HK
09/10/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	35-33	OV Helsingborg
30/12/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	OV Helsingborg	36-28	IFK Skovde HK
24/10/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	25-21	OV Helsingborg
03/12/22 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	25-30	OV Helsingborg
28/11/22 Sweden Handbollsligan	OV Helsingborg	30-23	IFK Skovde HK

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Kristianstad	4	4	0	0	120	105	8
2	Alingsas HK	4	3	0	1	132	121	6
3	Amo HK	4	2	1	1	127	121	5
4	Ystads IF HF	3	2	0	1	94	84	4
5	IK Savehof	2	2	0	0	60	50	4
6	Hammarby IF HF	4	2	0	2	115	113	4
7	HK Malmo	4	2	0	2	124	124	4
8	Lugi HF	4	2	0	2	123	127	4
9	OV Helsingborg	4	1	1	2	110	116	3
10	IFK Skovde HK	3	1	1	1	91	100	3
11	Skanela IF	4	1	0	3	115	121	2
12	Onnereds HK	4	0	2	2	111	120	2
13	HIF Karlskrona	4	1	0	3	124	134	2
14	IF Hallby HK	4	0	1	3	111	121	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OV Helsingborg	IFK Skovde HK
Ystads IF HF	24-36 L	26-36 L
IFK Kristianstad	33-32 W	30-34 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OV Helsingborg

WLLWWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	23-26	L
01/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	30-26	W
26/09	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	25-32	L
23/09	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-32	D
14/04	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	35-27	W
06/04	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	32-30	W
02/04	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	26-25	W
31/03	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	28-29	L
25/03	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	24-36	L
12/03	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	33-32	W

IFK Skovde HK

WWLWLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
26/09	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	36-35	W
23/09	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	26-36	L
15/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	17-18	L
12/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-31	L
07/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	26-36	L
01/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	25-23	W
25/03	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-34	L
12/03	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	31-28	W
08/03	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	33-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OV Helsingborg vs IFK Skovde HK?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (OV Helsingborg 53% · IFK Skovde HK 47%).

How many points are expected in OV Helsingborg vs IFK Skovde HK?

The model estimates 60 total points (OV Helsingborg 30.2 · IFK Skovde HK 29.8).